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Scanning the UAE market

CUSTOM BUILT VACANT NOW · 5 BEDROOM VILLA

5BR + 6BA · 6,369 sqft · Jumeirah Park Homes

▼ −2.9%★ Golden VisaVerified 13d ago

Now

€4.28M

was €4.41M€127K · −2.9%
Open on PropertyFinder

15-day history

AED 2,668

Price / sqft

6,369 sqft

Built-up area

5BR + 6BA

41d

On market

vs 10d median

EUR 87,599

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 21 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
21/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 21 PTS
5
7
9
Drop % 5/35
Negotiability 7/25
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 25
25
1 cut · 41d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−3%D24+24d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −3%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer €3.98M €4.15M. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER€4.15M€3.98M€4.28Mlow €3.21M
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
36 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Jumeirah Park, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −2.9% · −-€127K

PRICE ACTION · 24 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.4M6.4M12.4M18.4MAREA MEDIAN · 0.5M−3%
AskingArea median 0.5MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D24
was €4.41M€4.28M
24d after listing
2.9%
-€127K
TOTAL · 24D
2.9%
-€127K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 2.9% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
€22K€656 / mo

vs €23K at pre-drop price (€4.41M) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
€856K
20% of price
DLD FEE
€171K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
€9K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
€1.04M
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
€3.42M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
€3.19M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
€583
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
€22K
+€21K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
71.8k87.6k104.9k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€4K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
JUMEIRAH PARK · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 29 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 2,668 /sqft+2800%

vs area median AED 92 /sqft · 28 comps

RANK
27 / 29
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.3M9.1M17.8M2,4565,9989,540SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 2,668472,668
BREAKDOWN · 28 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
0
0% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
28
See table
MEDIAN DOM
6d
this listing: 40d
NEW THIS WEEK
17
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 28 comparables, 0 are more expensive per sqft. The 28 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
JUMEIRAH PARK · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1158349 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
€116KThis: €4.28M · +3575%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
10d
THIS: 41D · +31D
ACTIVE COMPS
36
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Jumeirah Park
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 11 MAY, 12:08 PM

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · TREO-S-051197
Last verified
13d ago
11 May, 12:08 PM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN JUMEIRAH PARK · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES