CAMEL TRACK PRIVATE · SINGLE ROW
3BR + 4BA · 2,093 sqft
▼ −2.1%★ Golden VisaVerified 13d ago
19-day history
AED 2,246
Price / sqft
−10% vs area median
2,093 sqft
Built-up area
3BR + 4BA
32d
On market
vs 14d median
USD 24,226
Mortgage est.
25y · 6% · 20% down
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 26 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Fair deal
Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.
SCORE BREAKDOWN · 26 PTS
4
6
7
9
Drop % 4/35
Negotiability 6/25
Below median 7/20
Confidence 9/10
Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
7 ACTIVE COMPS IN MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE 1
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
7 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Maple at Dubai Hil, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −2.1% · −-$27KPRICE ACTION · 7 DAYS
AskingArea median 5.2MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D7
was $1.31M → $1.28M
7d after listing
−2.1%
-$27K
TOTAL · 7D
−2.1%
-$27K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 2.1% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONSMORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$7K−$140 / mo
vs $7K at pre-drop price ($1.31M) · See cuts ↓
DOWN PAYMENT
$256K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$51K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$3K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$310K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$1.02M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$955K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$7K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$7K
−$483 / mo
0y10y
Buying beats renting after 9.3 years at the current price.
STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATESIf rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$1K/mo.
V · COMPARABLES
MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE 1 · 3BR · ACTIVEVALUE · 6 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 2,246 /sqft+1%
vs area median AED 2,220 /sqft · 5 comps
RANK
5 / 6
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 5 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
1
20% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
4
See table
MEDIAN DOM
17d
this listing: 26d
NEW THIS WEEK
1
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThis$1.28M2,0932,246—26d—Family Villa | Garden Views | Vacant$75K3,00292—22d-96%Prime Location | Close To Pool | Multiple Options$68K2,169115−5.7%27d-95%Prime Location | Genuine Listing |Motivated Seller$1.44M2,3872,220—4d-1%Vacant On Transfer | Single Row | 4 Bedrooms$1.44M2,3872,220—17d-1%Single Row | 4 Bedroom | Owner Occupied$1.42M2,1692,397−1.9%11d+7%TAKEAWAYOf 5 comparables, 1 are more expensive per sqft. The 4 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export
VI · AREA INTEL
MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE 1 · ACTIVE COMPSGEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET↑ 1158↑349 vs last 30d
drops detected · UAE-wide
MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$1.42MThis: $1.28M · -10%
AVG DOM
14d
THIS: 32D · +18D
ACTIVE COMPS
7
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Maple at Dubai Hills Estate 1
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 12 MAY, 08:01 AMTHIS IS THE MOMENT
SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · L-181960
Last verified
13d ago
12 May, 08:01 AM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE 1 · RANKED BY RECENCYSIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES
−2%SCORE 39
Single Row | 4 Bedroom | Owner Occupied
VILLA · MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE 1
$1.42M
$1.44M
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Negotiable | Vacant on Transfer | Fully Extended
VILLA · SIDRA VILLAS I
$2.18M
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Stop Scrolling | Best Deal | Call Now
VILLA · ARABIAN RANCHES 3
$1.63M
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Large Plot | Extended Turnkey Type 6
VILLA · MEADOWS 5
$4.90M
ACTIVE LISTING
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