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Scanning the UAE market

BRAND NEW SINGLE ROW · AVAILABLE NOW

4BR + 6BA · 3,250 sqft · June

▼ −4.0%Verified 2h ago

Now

$65K

was $68K$3K · −4.0%
Open on PropertyFinder

5-day history

AED 74

Price / sqft

−4% vs area median

3,250 sqft

Built-up area

4BR + 6BA

28d

On market

vs 5d median

USD 1,237

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 21 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
21/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 21 PTS
7
5
9
Drop % 7/35
Negotiability 5/25
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 20
20
1 cut · 28d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−4%D21+21d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −4%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer $61K $63K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$63K$61K$65Klow $49K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −4%
−4%
AED 74/sqft vs area median 147/sqft. See 165 comps
MINMEDIANMAXAED 74/SQFT
165 ACTIVE COMPS IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
165 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −4.0% · −-$3K

PRICE ACTION · 21 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.2M0.2M0.3M0.3MAREA MEDIAN · 0.3M−4%
AskingArea median 0.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D21
was $68K$65K
21d after listing
4.0%
-$3K
TOTAL · 21D
4.0%
-$3K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 4.0% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$337$14 / mo

vs $351 at pre-drop price ($68K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
$13K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$3K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$210
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$16K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$52K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$49K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$340
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$337
$4 / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 66.8 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
1.0k1.2k1.5k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$67/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 74 /sqft-50%

vs area median AED 147 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
6 / 51
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.1M5.4M10.7M1,2074,0926,977SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 74512,700
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
45
90% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
5
See table
MEDIAN DOM
2d
this listing: 26d
NEW THIS WEEK
42
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 45 are more expensive per sqft. The 5 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1158349 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$68KThis: $65K · -4%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
5d
THIS: 28D · +23D
ACTIVE COMPS
165
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Arabian Ranches 3
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 24 MAY, 05:16 PM

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · Y93EK1S3QD83VTJB8NHK7DXR2M
Last verified
2h ago
24 May, 05:16 PM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES