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BRAND NEW SINGLE ROW · HUGE PLOT

5BR + 7BA · 4,521 sqft · June

▼ −10.7%Dropped 2×Verified 1h ago

Now

AED 250K

was 280K−30K · −10.7%
Open on PropertyFinder

12-day history · 2 cuts

AED 55

Price / sqft

4,521 sqft

Built-up area

5BR + 7BA

28d

On market

vs 5d median

AED 1,289

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

2× / 7d

Drop velocity

Accelerating

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 33 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
33/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 33 PTS
13
11
9
Drop % 13/35
Negotiability 11/25
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 55
55
2 cuts in 7d · 28d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedD0−4%D14+14d−7%D21+7d
VELOCITY MEDIUM·LATEST CUT −7%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer AED 233K – AED 243K. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 243KAED 233KAED 250Klow AED 188K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
165 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
2 CUTS · −10.7% · −-30K

PRICE ACTION · 21 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
0.2M0.3M0.3M0.3MAREA MEDIAN · 0.3M−4%−7%
AskingArea median 0.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS
D14
was AED 280K → AED 270K
14d after listing
−3.6%
-AED 10K
D21
was AED 270K → AED 250K
7d after previous cut
−7.4%
-AED 20K
TOTAL · 21D
−10.7%
-AED 30K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 7 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (7.4%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 1K−AED 155 / mo

vs AED 1K at pre-drop price (AED 280K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 50K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 10K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 790
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 61K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 200K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 187K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 1K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 1K
+AED 39 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
1.1k1.3k1.5k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 255/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 55 /sqft-32%

vs area median AED 81 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
3 / 51
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M5.6M11.0M1,4914,2777,063SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 55472,115
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
48
96% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
2
See table
MEDIAN DOM
3d
this listing: 26d
NEW THIS WEEK
36
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 250K4,52155—26d—Huge Plot Size | Type A Layout | Ready To Move InAED 300K6,37347—11d-15%Corner Unit | Park Facing | Extremely Well PricedAED 270K5,32651—2d-7%Price Reduction | Landscaped | On the ParkAED 300K5,37856—4d+2%Single Row | Area Expert | Multiple OptionsAED 280K4,84258—20d+5%1 Min From Pool | Park Views | WarrantyAED 340K5,55261—24d+11%
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 48 are more expensive per sqft. The 2 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
↑ 1156↑347 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 250KThis: AED 250K · 0%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
5d
THIS: 28D · +23D
ACTIVE COMPS
165
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Arabian Ranches 3
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 24 MAY, 05:16 PM

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · VE1377C3CRB3DCQEDCNZN97BP0
Last verified
1h ago
24 May, 05:16 PM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
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