Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Arabian Ranches 3BackE8A8NXDS8JXHQCTPTK6MN6YPSC
BACKING POOL VACANT · NEGOTIABLE
3BR + 4BA · 1,270 sqft · Bliss
▼ −8.1%Verified 1h ago
1-day history
AED 134
Price / sqft
−32% vs area median
1,270 sqft
Built-up area
3BR + 4BA
27d
On market
vs 5d median
AED 876
Mortgage est.
25y · 6% · 20% down
🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 24 May)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 59 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Good opportunity
Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.
SCORE BREAKDOWN · 59 PTS
14
6
20
9
10
Drop % 14/35
Negotiability 6/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10
Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
165 ACTIVE COMPS IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
165 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −8.1% · −-15KPRICE ACTION · 21 DAYS
AskingArea median 0.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D21
was AED 185K → AED 170K
21d after listing
−8.1%
-AED 15K
TOTAL · 21D
−8.1%
-AED 15K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 8.1% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONSMORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 876−AED 77 / mo
vs AED 954 at pre-drop price (AED 185K) · See cuts ↓
DOWN PAYMENT
AED 34K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 7K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 630
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 41K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 136K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 127K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 1K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 876
−AED 374 / mo
0y10y
Buying beats renting after 1.7 years at the current price.
STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATESIf rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 173/mo.
V · COMPARABLES
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 3BR · ACTIVEVALUE · 51 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 134 /sqft+18%
vs area median AED 114 /sqft · 50 comps
RANK
33 / 51
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
18
36% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
32
See table
MEDIAN DOM
2d
this listing: 21d
NEW THIS WEEK
43
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 170K1,270134—21d—Corner Unit | Park Facing | Extremely Well PricedAED 270K5,32651—2d-62%True Corner Triplex | Single Row | NegotiableAED 229K3,41367—10d-50%Options Available | Landscaped | Multiple ChequesAED 275K4,09867—0d-50%Closed Kitchen | Move in Now | Brand NewAED 284K4,06470—20d-48%PRIME LOCATION | CORNER UNIT | READY TO MOVEAED 205K2,87771—0d-47%TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 18 are more expensive per sqft. The 32 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export
VI · AREA INTEL
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · ACTIVE COMPSGEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET↑ 1156↑347 vs last 30d
drops detected · UAE-wide
MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 250KThis: AED 170K · -32%
AVG DOM
5d
THIS: 27D · +22D
ACTIVE COMPS
165
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Arabian Ranches 3
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 24 MAY, 05:16 PMTHIS IS THE MOMENT
SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · E8A8NXDS8JXHQCTPTK6MN6YPSC
Last verified
1h ago
24 May, 05:16 PM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · RANKED BY RECENCYSIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES
−12%SCORE 77
Close to Amenities | Garden | Vacant
TOWNHOUSE · TILAL AL GHAF
AED 180K
AED 205K
PRICE TRAJECTORY
SCORE 25
High-End Upgraded | Furnished | VOT
TOWNHOUSE · PELHAM
AED 260K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Brand new | Single Row | Handover June
TOWNHOUSE · JEBEL ALI VILLAGE TOWNHOUSES
AED 360K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Brand New | Unfurnished | Handover June
TOWNHOUSE · JEBEL ALI VILLAGE TOWNHOUSES
AED 270K
ACTIVE LISTING
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