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Scanning the UAE market

UNFURNISHED CORNER UNIT · LANDSCAPED

4BR + 5BA · 2,407 sqft · Joy

▼ −14.3%Verified 2h ago

Now

$49K

was $57K$8K · −14.3%
Open on PropertyFinder

1-day history

AED 75

Price / sqft

−28% vs area median

2,407 sqft

Built-up area

4BR + 5BA

26d

On market

vs 5d median

USD 928

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 24 May)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 71 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
71/ 100
Great deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 71 PTS
25
8
19
9
10
Drop % 25/35
Negotiability 8/25
Below median 19/20
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 30
30
1 cut · 26d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−14%D21+21d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −14%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer $46K $48K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$48K$46K$49Klow $37K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −28%
−28%
AED 75/sqft vs area median 1,294/sqft. See 165 comps
MINMEDIANMAXAED 75/SQFT
165 ACTIVE COMPS IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
165 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −14.3% · −-$8K

PRICE ACTION · 21 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.2M0.2M0.2M0.3MAREA MEDIAN · 0.3M−14%
AskingArea median 0.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D21
was $57K$49K
21d after listing
14.3%
-$8K
TOTAL · 21D
14.3%
-$8K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 14.3% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$253$42 / mo

vs $295 at pre-drop price ($57K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
$10K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$2K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$177
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$12K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$39K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$37K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$340
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$253
$88 / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 2.0 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
0.8k0.9k1.1k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$50/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 75 /sqft-94%

vs area median AED 1,294 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
6 / 51
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.1M5.4M10.7M1,2074,0926,977SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 75512,700
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
44
88% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
6
See table
MEDIAN DOM
2d
this listing: 21d
NEW THIS WEEK
42
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 44 are more expensive per sqft. The 6 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1158349 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$68KThis: $49K · -28%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
5d
THIS: 26D · +21D
ACTIVE COMPS
165
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Arabian Ranches 3
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 24 MAY, 05:16 PM

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · 0V63ETH8KSXHNE0BXPWDFEXKFC
Last verified
2h ago
24 May, 05:16 PM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES