Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Al Warqa'aBackIRF-ALWARQA3-4BR
4BR+ MAJILAS+ MAID'S TWO KITCHEN UPGRADED VILLA
4BR + 5BA · 12,740 sqft · Al Warqa'a 3
▼ −7.5%Dropped 2×Verified 4d ago
15-day history · 2 cuts
AED 15
Price / sqft
−42% vs area median
12,740 sqft
Built-up area
4BR + 5BA
26d
On market
vs 13d median
EUR 954
Mortgage est.
25y · 6% · 20% down
2× / 12d
Drop velocity
Accelerating
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 44 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Good opportunity
Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.
SCORE BREAKDOWN · 44 PTS
5
10
20
9
Drop % 5/35
Negotiability 10/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10
Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
11 ACTIVE COMPS IN AL WARQA'A
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
11 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Al Warqa'a, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
2 CUTS · −7.5% · −-€4KPRICE ACTION · 12 DAYS
AskingArea median 0.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS
D0
was €50K → €48K
0d after listing
−5.0%
-€3K
D12
was €48K → €47K
12d after previous cut
−2.6%
-€1K
TOTAL · 12D
−7.5%
-€4K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 12 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (2.6%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONSMORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
€240−€19 / mo
vs €260 at pre-drop price (€50K) · See cuts ↓
DOWN PAYMENT
€9K
20% of price
DLD FEE
€2K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
€166
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
€11K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
€37K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
€35K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
€403
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
€240
−€163 / mo
0y10y
Buying beats renting after 1.0 years at the current price.
STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATESIf rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€48/mo.
V · COMPARABLES
AL WARQA'A · 4BR · ACTIVEVALUE · 8 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 15 /sqft-32%
vs area median AED 22 /sqft · 7 comps
RANK
1 / 8
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ UnderpricedPRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 7 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
7
100% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
0
See table
MEDIAN DOM
9d
this listing: 15d
NEW THIS WEEK
3
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThis€47K12,74015—15d—Well Maintained | Private Pool & Garden€63K12,09821—22d+40%Al Warqa 3 Modern Design 5 Bedrooms Ready To Move€71K12,90022—9d+47%Modern 5Bd Villa| Big Garden| 2 Kitchen|Al warqa 3€71K12,82022—4d+47%Modern 5Bd Villa| Big Garden| 2 Kitchen|Al warqa 3€71K12,82022—4d+47%Exclusive| Modern Villa| 4 Bedroom| Private Garden€81K11,82327—32d+80%TAKEAWAYOf 7 comparables, 7 are more expensive per sqft.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export
VI · AREA INTEL
AL WARQA'A · ACTIVE COMPSGEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY
No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET↑ 1158↑349 vs last 30d
drops detected · UAE-wide
MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
€81KThis: €47K · -42%
AVG DOM
13d
THIS: 26D · +13D
ACTIVE COMPS
11
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Al Warqa'a
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 21 MAY, 04:18 AMTHIS IS THE MOMENT
SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · IRF-Alwarqa3-4BR
Last verified
4d ago
21 May, 04:18 AM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS
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