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Scanning the UAE market

BackES-1009859

EXCLUSIVE ON PARK · EXTENDED

5BR + 4BA · 6,022 sqft

▼ −5.9%★ Golden VisaVerified 2h ago

Now

$3.46M

was $3.68M−$218K · −5.9%
Open on PropertyFinder

11-day history

AED 2,109

Price / sqft

6,022 sqft

Built-up area

5BR + 4BA

21d

On market

vs 10d median

USD 65,461

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 25 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
25/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 25 PTS
10
6
9
Drop % 10/35
Negotiability 6/25
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 25
25
1 cut · 21d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedD0−6%D9+9d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −6%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer $3.22M – $3.35M. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$3.35M$3.22M$3.46Mlow $2.59M
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
8 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Sidra Villas II, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −5.9% · −-$218K

PRICE ACTION · 9 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
0.4M5.0M9.6M14.2MAREA MEDIAN · 0.4M−6%
AskingArea median 0.4MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D9
was $3.68M → $3.46M
9d after listing
−5.9%
-$218K
TOTAL · 9D
−5.9%
-$218K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 5.9% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$18K−$1K / mo

vs $19K at pre-drop price ($3.68M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
$692K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$138K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$7K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$837K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$2.77M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$2.58M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$541
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$18K
+$17K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
53.6k65.5k78.4k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$4K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
SIDRA VILLAS II · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 3 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 2,109 /sqft+1306%

vs area median AED 150 /sqft · 2 comps

RANK
3 / 3
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.4M6.9M13.3M4,6045,6326,660SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 2,109832,109
BREAKDOWN · 2 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
0
0% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
2
See table
MEDIAN DOM
10d
this listing: 20d
NEW THIS WEEK
1
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThis$3.46M6,0222,109—20d—Exclusive 4-Bedroom Villa | Prime Location$109K4,84683—10d-96%Upgraded and Extended | Partially Furnished | Pool$259K6,343150—5d-93%
TAKEAWAYOf 2 comparables, 0 are more expensive per sqft. The 2 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
SIDRA VILLAS II · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
↑ 1157↑348 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$108KThis: $3.46M · +3095%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
10d
THIS: 21D · +11D
ACTIVE COMPS
8
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Sidra Villas II
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 24 MAY, 05:04 PM

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · ES-1009859
Last verified
2h ago
24 May, 05:04 PM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN SIDRA VILLAS II · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES

SCORE 25
Lowest Premium | Prime Location | Call Now
VILLA · ARABIAN RANCHES 3
$1.85M
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Negotiable | Vacant on Transfer | Fully Extended
VILLA · SIDRA VILLAS I
$2.18M
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Address villa | Largest Plot | Lagoon View
VILLA · THE OASIS BY EMAAR
$8.58M
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
View Today | Fully Renovated | Community Experts
VILLA · WILDFLOWER
$5.39M
ACTIVE LISTING
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