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Scanning the UAE market

BEST PRICED FULLY LANDSCAPED · VACANT

5BR + 7BA · 6,612 sqft · Tilal Al Furjan

▼ −2.5%Verified 3d ago

Now

$106K

was $109K$3K · −2.5%
Open on PropertyFinder

13-day history

AED 59

Price / sqft

−51% vs area median

6,612 sqft

Built-up area

5BR + 7BA

19d

On market

vs 8d median

USD 2,010

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 37 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
37/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 37 PTS
4
4
20
9
Drop % 4/35
Negotiability 4/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 20
20
1 cut · 19d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−3%D4+4d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −3%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer $99K $103K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$103K$99K$106Klow $80K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −51%
−51%
AED 59/sqft vs area median 1,258/sqft. See 29 comps
MINMEDIANMAXAED 59/SQFT
29 ACTIVE COMPS IN AL FURJAN

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
29 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Al Furjan, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −2.5% · −-$3K

PRICE ACTION · 4 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.4M0.5M0.7M0.8MAREA MEDIAN · 0.8M−3%
AskingArea median 0.8MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D4
was $109K$106K
4d after listing
2.5%
-$3K
TOTAL · 4D
2.5%
-$3K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 2.5% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$547$14 / mo

vs $561 at pre-drop price ($109K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
$21K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$4K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$291
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$26K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$85K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$79K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$1K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$547
$528 / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 0.7 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
1.6k2.0k2.4k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$108/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
AL FURJAN · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 16 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 59 /sqft-95%

vs area median AED 1,258 /sqft · 15 comps

RANK
2 / 16
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.4M7.0M13.6M2,3254,6606,996SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 59571,972
BREAKDOWN · 15 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
14
93% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
1
See table
MEDIAN DOM
4d
this listing: 18d
NEW THIS WEEK
12
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 15 comparables, 14 are more expensive per sqft. The 1 cheaper one is a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
AL FURJAN · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1158349 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$215KThis: $106K · -51%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
8d
THIS: 19D · +11D
ACTIVE COMPS
29
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Al Furjan
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 22 MAY, 06:17 AM

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · MCC-R-70419-1
Last verified
3d ago
22 May, 06:17 AM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN AL FURJAN · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES