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Scanning the UAE market

SINGLE ROW 5BR+M CORNER VILLA WITH DRIVERS ROOM

5BR + 6BA · 6,136 sqft

▼ −4.8%Verified 2h ago

Now

AED 500K

was 525K25K · −4.8%
Open on PropertyFinder

2-day history

AED 81

Price / sqft

6,136 sqft

Built-up area

5BR + 6BA

18d

On market

vs 3d median

AED 2,577

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 22 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
22/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 22 PTS
8
5
9
Drop % 8/35
Negotiability 5/25
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 20
20
1 cut · 18d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−5%D15+15d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −5%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer AED 465K AED 485K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 485KAED 465KAED 500Klow AED 375K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
7 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Murooj Al Furjan E, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −4.8% · −-25K

PRICE ACTION · 15 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.5M0.5M0.5M0.6MAREA MEDIAN · 0.5M−5%
AskingArea median 0.5MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D15
was AED 525KAED 500K
15d after listing
4.8%
-AED 25K
TOTAL · 15D
4.8%
-AED 25K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 4.8% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 3KAED 129 / mo

vs AED 3K at pre-drop price (AED 525K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 100K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 20K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 1K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 121K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 400K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 373K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 3K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 3K
+AED 77 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
2.1k2.6k3.1k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 510/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
MUROOJ AL FURJAN EAST · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 7 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 81 /sqft-95%

vs area median AED 1,798 /sqft · 6 comps

RANK
4 / 7
MID/HIGH RANGE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M3.5M6.8M2,0314,2376,443SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 81531,964
BREAKDOWN · 6 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
3
50% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
3
See table
MEDIAN DOM
2d
this listing: 17d
NEW THIS WEEK
6
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 6 comparables, 3 are more expensive per sqft. The 3 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
MUROOJ AL FURJAN EAST · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1158349 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 500KThis: AED 500K · 0%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
3d
THIS: 18D · +15D
ACTIVE COMPS
7
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Murooj Al Furjan East
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 24 MAY, 05:16 PM

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · RA0000000720
Last verified
2h ago
24 May, 05:16 PM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN MUROOJ AL FURJAN EAST · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES