Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Bay VillasBackSKYVIEW-32705
SEMI-DETACHED VILLA NEXT TO BEACH · SINGLE ROW
3BR + 5BA · 3,856 sqft
▼ −2.2%★ Golden VisaVerified 6d ago
11-day history
AED 1,725
Price / sqft
−32% vs area median
3,856 sqft
Built-up area
3BR + 5BA
18d
On market
vs 7d median
EUR 34,277
Mortgage est.
25y · 6% · 20% down
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 37 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Fair deal
Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.
SCORE BREAKDOWN · 37 PTS
4
4
20
9
Drop % 4/35
Negotiability 4/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10
Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
19 ACTIVE COMPS IN BAY VILLAS
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
19 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Bay Villas, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −2.2% · −-€38KPRICE ACTION · 2 DAYS
AskingArea median 9.8MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D2
was €1.71M → €1.68M
2d after listing
−2.2%
-€38K
TOTAL · 2D
−2.2%
-€38K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 2.2% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONSMORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
€9K−€195 / mo
vs €9K at pre-drop price (€1.71M) · See cuts ↓
DOWN PAYMENT
€335K
20% of price
DLD FEE
€67K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
€3K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
€405K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
€1.34M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
€1.25M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
€12K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
€9K
−€4K / mo
0y10y
Buying beats renting after 1.6 years at the current price.
STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATESIf rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€2K/mo.
V · COMPARABLES
BAY VILLAS · 3BR · ACTIVEVALUE · 14 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 1,725 /sqft0%
vs area median AED 1,725 /sqft · 13 comps
RANK
7 / 14
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 13 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
6
46% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
7
See table
MEDIAN DOM
2d
this listing: 12d
NEW THIS WEEK
9
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThis€1.68M3,8561,725—12d—Garden Villa | Beach Community | Urgent Sale Deal€2.38M6,7571,399—4d-19%Equisite Garden Villa 4BR G+1 Villas |Dubai Island€2.47M6,4581,517—2d-12%4 Bed / Semidetached Villa / Selling At OP€1.66M4,2401,557—2d-10%Island Living | Specious 4 BR | Private Beachfront€1.51M3,8351,565—0d-9%Luxury Garden Villa | Near Beach and Amenities€2.67M6,5221,625—17d-6%TAKEAWAYOf 13 comparables, 6 are more expensive per sqft. The 7 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export
VI · AREA INTEL
BAY VILLAS · ACTIVE COMPSGEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY
No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET↑ 1158↑349 vs last 30d
drops detected · UAE-wide
MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
€2.47MThis: €1.68M · -32%
AVG DOM
7d
THIS: 18D · +11D
ACTIVE COMPS
19
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Bay Villas
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 18 MAY, 06:03 PMTHIS IS THE MOMENT
SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · SkyView-32705
Last verified
6d ago
18 May, 06:03 PM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS
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VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN BAY VILLAS · RANKED BY RECENCYSIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES
SCORE 25
Negotiable | Vacant on Transfer | Fully Extended
VILLA · SIDRA VILLAS I
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ACTIVE LISTING
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EXCLUSIVE | Upgraded Kitchen | Large Gazebo
VILLA · ESTELLA
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ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Stop Scrolling | Best Deal | Call Now
VILLA · ARABIAN RANCHES 3
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ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Maids Room | Extended | Upgraded | VOT | 3M
VILLA · SPRINGS 9
€1.56M
ACTIVE LISTING
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