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BackES-1009920

SINGLE ROW 4 BEDROOM · OWNER OCCUPIED

4BR + 4BA · 2,169 sqft

▼ −1.9%★ Golden VisaVerified 2h ago

Now

AED 5.20M

was 5.30M−100K · −1.9%
Open on PropertyFinder

7-day history

AED 2,397

Price / sqft

2,169 sqft

Built-up area

4BR + 4BA

18d

On market

vs 13d median

AED 26,803

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 16 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
16/ 100
Below average

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 16 PTS
3
4
9
Drop % 3/35
Negotiability 4/25
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 20
20
1 cut · 18d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedD0−2%D4+4d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −2%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer AED 4.84M – AED 5.04M. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 5.04MAED 4.84MAED 5.20Mlow AED 3.90M
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
7 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Maple at Dubai Hil, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −1.9% · −-100K

PRICE ACTION · 4 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
4.9M5.1M5.4M5.6MAREA MEDIAN · 5.2M−2%
AskingArea median 5.2MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D4
was AED 5.30M → AED 5.20M
4d after listing
−1.9%
-AED 100K
TOTAL · 4D
−1.9%
-AED 100K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 1.9% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 27K−AED 515 / mo

vs AED 27K at pre-drop price (AED 5.30M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 1.04M
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 208K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 11K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 1.26M
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 4.16M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 3.88M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 26K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 27K
+AED 803 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
22.0k26.8k32.1k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 5K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE 1 · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 7 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 2,397 /sqft+16%

vs area median AED 2,072 /sqft · 6 comps

RANK
7 / 7
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M3.4M6.5M2,0612,7263,390SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 2,397922,397
BREAKDOWN · 6 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
0
0% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
6
See table
MEDIAN DOM
16d
this listing: 11d
NEW THIS WEEK
2
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 5.20M2,1692,397—11d—Family Villa | Garden Views | VacantAED 275K3,00292—22d-96%Ready to move in | Large Garden | Near AmenitiesAED 320K3,22999—10d-96%Prime Location | Close To Pool | Multiple OptionsAED 250K2,169115−5.7%26d-95%Exclusive | Park View | Great LocationAED 6.17M2,9802,072—3d-14%Prime Location | Genuine Listing |Motivated SellerAED 5.30M2,3872,220—4d-7%
TAKEAWAYOf 6 comparables, 0 are more expensive per sqft. The 6 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE 1 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
↑ 1157↑348 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 5.20MThis: AED 5.20M · 0%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
13d
THIS: 18D · +5D
ACTIVE COMPS
7
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Maple at Dubai Hills Estate 1
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 24 MAY, 05:04 PM

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · ES-1009920
Last verified
2h ago
24 May, 05:04 PM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE 1 · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES

−6%SCORE 45
Exclusive | On Park | Extended
VILLA · SIDRA VILLAS II
AED 12.70M
AED 13.50M
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Negotiable | Vacant on Transfer | Fully Extended
VILLA · SIDRA VILLAS I
AED 8.00M
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Lowest Premium | Prime Location | Call Now
VILLA · ARABIAN RANCHES 3
AED 6.80M
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Equisite Garden Villa 4BR G+1 Villas |Dubai Island
VILLA · BAY VILLAS
AED 9.80M
ACTIVE LISTING
Browse all drops in real estate →
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