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Scanning the UAE market

FULLY UPGRADED LUXURY · MUST SEE

2BR + 3BA · 1,857 sqft

▼ −9.8%Dropped 2×Verified 1h ago

Now

AED 230K

was 255K25K · −9.8%
Open on PropertyFinder

6-day history · 2 cuts

AED 124

Price / sqft

−22% vs area median

1,857 sqft

Built-up area

2BR + 3BA

14d

On market

vs 11d median

AED 1,186

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

2× / 3d

Drop velocity

Accelerating

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 45 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
45/ 100
Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 45 PTS
11
10
15
9
Drop % 11/35
Negotiability 10/25
Below median 15/20
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 50
50
2 cuts in 3d · 14d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−4%D6+6d−6%D9+3d
VELOCITY MEDIUM·LATEST CUT −6%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer AED 214K AED 223K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 223KAED 214KAED 230Klow AED 173K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −22%
−22%
AED 124/sqft vs area median 140/sqft. See 8 comps
MINMEDIANMAXAED 124/SQFT
8 ACTIVE COMPS IN SPRINGS 3

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
8 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Springs 3, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
2 CUTS · −9.8% · −-25K

PRICE ACTION · 9 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.2M0.2M0.3M0.3MAREA MEDIAN · 0.3M−4%−6%
AskingArea median 0.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS
D6
was AED 255KAED 245K
6d after listing
3.9%
-AED 10K
D9
was AED 245KAED 230K
3d after previous cut
6.1%
-AED 15K
TOTAL · 9D
9.8%
-AED 25K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 3 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (6.1%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 1KAED 129 / mo

vs AED 1K at pre-drop price (AED 255K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 46K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 9K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 750
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 56K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 184K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 172K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 1K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 1K
AED 289 / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 2.9 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
1.0k1.2k1.4k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 235/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
SPRINGS 3 · 2BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 8 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 124 /sqft-11%

vs area median AED 140 /sqft · 7 comps

RANK
3 / 8
MID/HIGH RANGE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M2.8M5.5M1,5653,3345,104SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 124602,272
BREAKDOWN · 7 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
5
71% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
2
See table
MEDIAN DOM
9d
this listing: 12d
NEW THIS WEEK
3
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 7 comparables, 5 are more expensive per sqft. The 2 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
SPRINGS 3 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1156347 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 295KThis: AED 230K · -22%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
11d
THIS: 14D · +3D
ACTIVE COMPS
8
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Springs 3
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 24 MAY, 05:16 PM

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · PP-R-17311
Last verified
1h ago
24 May, 05:16 PM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN SPRINGS 3 · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES