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Scanning the UAE market

EXCELLENT LOCATION 6 BEDROOM · LARGE PLOT

6BR + 7BA · 8,893 sqft · Hattan Arabian Ranches

▼ −14.5%Verified 45m ago

Now

$161K

was $188K$27K · −14.5%
Open on PropertyFinder

5-day history

AED 66

Price / sqft

−95% vs area median

8,893 sqft

Built-up area

6BR + 7BA

14d

On market

vs 9d median

USD 3,041

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 62 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
62/ 100
Great deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 62 PTS
25
8
20
9
Drop % 25/35
Negotiability 8/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 30
30
1 cut · 14d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−14%D6+6d
VELOCITY LOW·LATEST CUT −14%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer $149K $156K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$156K$149K$161Klow $120K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −95%
−95%
AED 66/sqft vs area median 1,360/sqft. See 17 comps
MINMEDIANMAXAED 66/SQFT
17 ACTIVE COMPS IN ARABIAN RANCHES

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
17 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Arabian Ranches, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −14.5% · −-$27K

PRICE ACTION · 6 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.6M4.4M8.2M12.1MAREA MEDIAN · 11.5M−14%
AskingArea median 11.5MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D6
was $188K$161K
6d after listing
14.5%
-$27K
TOTAL · 6D
14.5%
-$27K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 14.5% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$828$140 / mo

vs $969 at pre-drop price ($188K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
$32K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$6K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$400
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$39K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$129K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$120K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$16K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$828
$15K / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 0.0 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
2.5k3.0k3.6k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$164/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
ARABIAN RANCHES · 6BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 16 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 66 /sqft-95%

vs area median AED 1,360 /sqft · 15 comps

RANK
1 / 16
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.6M14.5M28.4M3,49612,56821,639SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 66664,950
BREAKDOWN · 15 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
15
100% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
0
See table
MEDIAN DOM
5d
this listing: 11d
NEW THIS WEEK
10
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 15 comparables, 15 are more expensive per sqft.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
ARABIAN RANCHES · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
1156347 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$3.13MThis: $161K · -95%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
9d
THIS: 14D · +5D
ACTIVE COMPS
17
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Arabian Ranches
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 24 MAY, 05:16 PM

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · EL-R-791
Last verified
45m ago
24 May, 05:16 PM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN ARABIAN RANCHES · RANKED BY RECENCY

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