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Scanning the UAE market

BackLXF-R-174230

CAMEL TRACK PRIVATE LOCATION · VACANT NOW

3BR + 4BA · 3,091 sqft · Golf Grove

Verified 5d ago

Now

AED 380K

Open on PropertyFinder

AED 123

Price / sqft

−76% vs area median

3,091 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 4BA

6d

On market

vs 9d median

AED 1,959

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE PENDING

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Awaiting first price event to compute score.

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

04
BELOW MEDIAN · −76%
−76%
AED 123/sqft vs area median 167/sqft. See 63 comps ↓
MINMEDIANMAXAED 123/SQFT
63 ACTIVE COMPS IN DUBAI HILLS ESTATE

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
63 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Dubai Hills Estate, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 2K

vs AED 2K at pre-drop price (AED 380K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 76K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 15K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 1K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 92K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 304K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 284K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 8K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 2K
−AED 6K / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 0.2 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
1.6k2.0k2.3k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 388/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
DUBAI HILLS ESTATE · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 27 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 123 /sqft-26%

vs area median AED 167 /sqft · 26 comps

RANK
3 / 27
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.1M7.9M15.8M9073,0755,244SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 1231093,028
BREAKDOWN · 26 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
24
92% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
2
See table
MEDIAN DOM
4d
this listing: 5d
NEW THIS WEEK
19
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 380K3,091123—5d—GREEN BELT BACKING | TYPE 2M | VACANTAED 230K2,110109—3d-11%Partial Golf View | Brand-New | Chiller-FreeAED 130K1,153113—3d-8%BEST DEAL | PREMIUM 3BR+MAID VILLA | VACANT NOWAED 400K3,211125—5d+2%BEST DEAL | First Tenant | Furnished | Brand NewAED 135K1,075126−10.0%30d+2%Luxury Villa | Private Terrace | AvailableAED 440K3,366131—6d+7%
TAKEAWAYOf 26 comparables, 24 are more expensive per sqft. The 2 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
DUBAI HILLS ESTATE · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
↑ 1154↑345 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 1.60MThis: AED 380K · -76%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
9d
THIS: 6D · −3D
ACTIVE COMPS
63
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Dubai Hills Estate
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 19 MAY, 10:16 AM

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · LXF-R-174230
Last verified
5d ago
19 May, 10:16 AM
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN DUBAI HILLS ESTATE · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES

−1%SCORE 38
Corner Plot | Direct Park Views | Keys in Hand
VILLA · JUMEIRAH VILLAGE TRIANGLE
AED 173K
AED 175K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Spacious 3BR Villa | Garden | Maid’s Room
VILLA · AL SAFA 1 VILLAS
AED 450K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Spacious | Luxurious Finishing | Lowest Price
VILLA · ELIE SAAB 1
AED 300K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Luxurious 4-Bedroom Villa | Al Safa Ghafat Villas
VILLA · AL SAFA 1 VILLAS
AED 420K
ACTIVE LISTING
Browse all drops in real estate →
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