Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Dubai SouthBack106968-0FWHMR
4BR VILLA RAIHA
4BR + 5BA · 3,800 sqft · Raiha
★ Golden VisaVerified 3h ago
Now
AED 4.50M
AED 1,184
Price / sqft
3,800 sqft
Built-up area
4BR + 5BA
0d
On market
vs 8d median
AED 23,195
Mortgage est.
25y · 6% · 20% down
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE PENDINGWHY THIS IS A DEAL
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
SCORE BREAKDOWN
Awaiting first price event to compute score.
Insider unlocks the four evidence rows below.
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
14 comps · Daily
BENCHMARK
Dubai South, last 180d
REFRESH
Daily
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONSMORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE CB caps · 25-yr tenor · 80% LTV on a first home ≤ AED 5M · rates vary by bank — drag the sliders
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 23K
vs AED 23K at pre-drop price (AED 4.50M) · See cuts ↓
DOWN PAYMENT
AED 900K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 180K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 9K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 1.09M
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 3.60M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 3.36M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 23K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 23K
+AED 695 / mo
Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.
STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATESIf rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 5K/mo.
V · COMPARABLES
DUBAI SOUTH · 4BR · ACTIVEVALUE · 8 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 1,184 /sqft-4%
vs area median AED 1,236 /sqft · 7 comps
RANK
4 / 8
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 7 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
4
57% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
3
See table
MEDIAN DOM
—
this listing: —
NEW THIS WEEK
—
Last 7 days
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 4.50M3,8001,184———3BR Villa Resale · Golf Course Living · Long-Term ValueAED 4.10M4,581895——-24%Fully Furnished 3BR Apartment in Dubai South · Post-Handover Payment Plan AvailableAED 1.34M1,3321,008——-15%End Unit · Rented · UpgradedAED 3.70M3,3491,105——-7%Next to Lagoon · Vacant · Semi DetachedAED 4.45M3,6001,236——+4%Golf Community Living · Villa Investment · Strong Growth PotentialAED 3.80M3,0301,254——+6%TAKEAWAYOf 7 comparables, 4 are more expensive per sqft. The 3 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export
VI · AREA INTEL
DUBAI SOUTH · ACTIVE COMPSGEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET↑ 1↑1 vs prior 30d
PRICE CUTS · DUBAI SOUTH · PROPERTY · 0 PRIOR 30D
MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 2.71MThis: AED 4.50M · +66%
AVG DOM
8d
THIS: 0D · −8D
ACTIVE COMPS
14
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Dubai South