Drops · Cars · Dubai · DubaiBackDUBICARS-1006177
FERRARI CALIFORNIA 2015
2015 · 65k km
▼ −9.1%Dropped 3×Verified 4d ago
Now
AED 299K
was 329K−30K · −9.1%
Cuts every ~22d · next window in ~8d
68-day history · 3 cuts
−54dToday
68-day history · 3 cuts
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 50 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
BOTTOM LINE
Good opportunity — seller has made 3 cuts over 45 days and priced 40% below comparable Dubai listings. Fair offer band: AED 263K–AED 284K.
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Good opportunity
SCORE BREAKDOWN
6
15
20
9
Drop % 6/35
Negotiability 15/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10
Insider unlocks the four evidence rows below.
02
VELOCITY HIGH·MOST RECENT CUT −3%
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
655 comps · 3× daily
OFFER BAND
−12% … −5% vs asking
BENCHMARK
Dubai, last 180d
REFRESH
3× daily
III · THE EVIDENCE
3 CUTS · −9.1% · −-30KPRICE ACTION · 53 DAYS
AskingArea median 0.5MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 3 EVENTS
D9
was AED 329K → AED 319K
9d after listing
−3.0%
-AED 10K
D21
was AED 319K → AED 309K
12d after previous cut
−3.1%
-AED 10K
D53
was AED 309K → AED 299K
33d after previous cut
−3.2%
-AED 10K
TOTAL · 53D
−9.1%
-AED 30K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 3 times in 45 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (3.2%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
V · COMPARABLES
FERRARI · ACTIVEVALUE · 47 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 4,596 / 1,000 km-99%
vs median AED 338,636 / 1,000 km · 46 Ferrari comps
RANK
1 / 47
BEST VALUE QUARTILE
MILEAGE
65k km
PRICE × KM · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / 1K KM · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 46 Ferrari
MORE EXPENSIVE /KM
46
100% of comps
CHEAPER /KM
0
Mostly higher mileage
MEDIAN DOM
—
this listing: —
THIS MILEAGE
65k km
ListingPriceKMAED/1KkmDrop %DOMΔ vs this
2015 Ferrari CaliforniaThisAED 299K65k4,596———2020 Ferrari Portofino STDAED 525K62k8,468——+84%2007 Ferrari 612AED 365K41k8,902−5.2%—+94%2009 Ferrari F430AED 500K36k14,068——+206%2018 Ferrari GTC4 TAED 580K31k18,710——+307%2019 Ferrari Portofino · Service historyAED 569K28k20,321——+342%TAKEAWAYOf 46 comparable Ferraris, 46 cost more per 1,000 km. The 0 cheaper are higher-mileage examples.
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