Drops · Cars · Dubai · DubaiBackDUBICARS-1018720
BMW M4 3.0L X-DRIVE CONVERTIBLE 2022
2022 · 48k km
▼ −2.2%Verified 13d ago
45-day history
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 40 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
BOTTOM LINE
Good opportunity — seller has made 1 cut since listing 45d ago and priced 58% below comparable Dubai listings. Fair offer band: $56K–$58K.
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Good opportunity
SCORE BREAKDOWN
4
7
20
9
Drop % 4/35
Negotiability 7/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10
Insider unlocks the four evidence rows below.
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
583 comps · 3× daily
OFFER BAND
−7% … −3% vs asking
BENCHMARK
Dubai, last 180d
REFRESH
3× daily
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −2.2% · −-$1KPRICE ACTION · 29 DAYS
AskingArea median 0.5MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D29
was $61K → $60K
29d after listing
−2.2%
-$1K
TOTAL · 29D
−2.2%
-$1K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 2.2% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
V · COMPARABLES
BMW · ACTIVEVALUE · 33 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 4,548 / 1,000 km-36%
vs median AED 7,124 / 1,000 km · 32 BMW comps
RANK
16 / 33
MID/HIGH RANGE
MILEAGE
48k km
PRICE × KM · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / 1K KM · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 32 BMW
MORE EXPENSIVE /KM
17
53% of comps
CHEAPER /KM
15
Mostly higher mileage
MEDIAN DOM
—
this listing: —
THIS MILEAGE
48k km
ListingPriceKMAED/1KkmDrop %DOMΔ vs this
2022 BMW M4 3.0L X-Drive ConvertibleThis$60K48k4,548———2020 BMW X6$42K112k1,388——-69%2022 BMW X7$46K112k1,509——-67%2019 BMW 5 Series$46K99k1,707——-62%2022 BMW X6$51K100k1,855——-59%2025 BMW 7 Series · Warranty · Accident-free$68K122k2,041——-55%TAKEAWAYOf 32 comparable BMWs, 17 cost more per 1,000 km. The 15 cheaper are higher-mileage examples.
Unlock all BMW comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export