Drops · Cars · Dubai · DubaiBackDUBICARS-1026650
BMW X5 2024
2024 · 23k km
▼ −3.4%Verified 4d ago
16-day history
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 39 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
BOTTOM LINE
Fair deal — seller has made 1 cut since listing 15d ago and priced 44% below comparable Dubai listings. Fair offer band: AED 260K–AED 272K.
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Fair deal
SCORE BREAKDOWN
6
4
20
9
Drop % 6/35
Negotiability 4/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10
Insider unlocks the four evidence rows below.
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
655 comps · 3× daily
OFFER BAND
−7% … −3% vs asking
BENCHMARK
Dubai, last 180d
REFRESH
3× daily
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −3.4% · −-10KPRICE ACTION · 9 DAYS
AskingArea median 0.5MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D9
was AED 290K → AED 280K
9d after listing
−3.4%
-AED 10K
TOTAL · 9D
−3.4%
-AED 10K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 3.4% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
V · COMPARABLES
BMW · ACTIVEVALUE · 53 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 11,957 / 1,000 km+107%
vs median AED 5,779 / 1,000 km · 52 BMW comps
RANK
37 / 53
MID/HIGH RANGE
MILEAGE
23k km
PRICE × KM · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / 1K KM · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 52 BMW
MORE EXPENSIVE /KM
16
31% of comps
CHEAPER /KM
36
Mostly higher mileage
MEDIAN DOM
—
this listing: —
THIS MILEAGE
23k km
ListingPriceKMAED/1KkmDrop %DOMΔ vs this
2024 BMW X5ThisAED 280K23k11,957———2023 BMW X6 Series · European specs · Accident-freeAED 199K160k1,244——-90%2023 BMW X6 Series · European specs · Accident-freeAED 199K160k1,244——-90%2020 BMW X6AED 155K112k1,388——-88%2022 BMW X7AED 169K112k1,509——-87%2022 BMW 8 SeriesAED 160K100k1,600——-87%Unlock all BMW comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export