Drops · Cars · Dubai · DubaiBackDUBICARS-992701
BMW M340I XDRIVE M-SPORT 2022
2022 · 45k km
▼ −2.1%Verified 3d ago
16-day history
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 38 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
BOTTOM LINE
Scored 38/100 (Fair deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 15d ago and priced 63% below comparable Dubai listings. A fair offer band sits AED 173K–AED 180K.
All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Fair deal
Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.
SCORE BREAKDOWN · 38 PTS
4
5
20
9
Drop % 4/35
Negotiability 5/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10
Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
632 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Dubai, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −2.1% · −-4KPRICE ACTION · 1 DAYS
AskingArea median 0.5MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D1
was AED 190K → AED 186K
1d after listing
−2.1%
-AED 4K
TOTAL · 1D
−2.1%
-AED 4K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 2.1% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
V · COMPARABLES
BMW · ACTIVEVALUE · 49 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 4,128 / 1,000 km-72%
vs median AED 14,773 / 1,000 km · 48 BMW comps
RANK
11 / 49
BEST VALUE QUARTILE
MILEAGE
45k km
PRICE × KM · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / 1K KM · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 48 BMW
MORE EXPENSIVE /KM
38
79% of comps
CHEAPER /KM
10
Mostly higher mileage
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
THIS MILEAGE
45k km
ListingPriceKMAED/1KkmDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 186K45k4,128—0d—BMW X5 2023 للبيعAED 210K133k1,579—0d-62%BMW M340i 2021AED 163K95k1,713—0d-59%BMW M550i xDrive 2019AED 154K90k1,718—0d-58%BMW X6 V8 under warrantyAED 225K85k2,647—0d-36%BMW M340i M SPORT 3600 AED P/M For 5 Years With 0% Down Payment BMW M340 V6 2023 2023AED 165K60k2,750—0d-33%TAKEAWAYOf 48 comparable BMWs, 38 cost more per 1,000 km. The 10 cheaper are higher-mileage examples.
Unlock all BMW comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export