Drops · Cars · Dubai · DubaiBackDUBICARS-995740
LEXUS LX570 2020
2020 · 61k km
▼ −12.3%Dropped 4×Verified 2d ago
Now
AED 272K
was 310K−93K · −12.3%
Cuts every ~14d · next window in ~3d
79-day history · 4 cuts
−69dToday
79-day history · 4 cuts
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 77 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
BOTTOM LINE
Great deal — seller has made 4 cuts over 43 days and priced 45% below comparable Dubai listings. Fair offer band: AED 239K–AED 258K.
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Great deal
SCORE BREAKDOWN
31
17
20
9
Drop % 31/35
Negotiability 17/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10
Insider unlocks the four evidence rows below.
02
VELOCITY HIGH·MOST RECENT CUT −18%
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
655 comps · 3× daily
OFFER BAND
−12% … −5% vs asking
BENCHMARK
Dubai, last 180d
REFRESH
3× daily
III · THE EVIDENCE
4 CUTS · −12.3% · −-93KPRICE ACTION · 68 DAYS
AskingArea median 0.5MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 4 EVENTS
D25
was AED 310K → AED 300K
25d after listing
−3.2%
-AED 10K
D34
was AED 300K → AED 284K
9d after previous cut
−5.3%
-AED 16K
D62
was AED 284K → AED 275K
28d after previous cut
−3.2%
-AED 9K
D68
was AED 330K → AED 272K
6d after previous cut
−17.6%
-AED 58K
TOTAL · 68D
−12.3%
-AED 93K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 4 times in 43 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (17.6%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
V · COMPARABLES
LEXUS · ACTIVEVALUE · 29 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 4,459 / 1,000 km-25%
vs median AED 5,962 / 1,000 km · 28 Lexus comps
RANK
12 / 29
MID/HIGH RANGE
MILEAGE
61k km
PRICE × KM · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / 1K KM · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 28 Lexus
MORE EXPENSIVE /KM
17
61% of comps
CHEAPER /KM
11
Mostly higher mileage
MEDIAN DOM
—
this listing: —
THIS MILEAGE
61k km
ListingPriceKMAED/1KkmDrop %DOMΔ vs this
2020 Lexus LX570ThisAED 272K61k4,459———2018 Lexus LXAED 163K330k494——-89%2018 Lexus LXAED 165K330k500——-89%2017 Lexus LXAED 155K300k517——-88%2016 Lexus LXAED 155K218k711——-84%2016 Lexus LX570 5.7AED 165K228k724——-84%TAKEAWAYOf 28 comparable Lexuss, 17 cost more per 1,000 km. The 11 cheaper are higher-mileage examples.
Unlock all Lexus comparables · AED 199 / mo
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