Drops · Cars · Dubai · DubaiBackDUBICARS-998007
BMW X5 2025
2025 · 9k km
▼ −9.2%Verified 18h ago
16-day history
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 51 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
BOTTOM LINE
Scored 51/100 (Good opportunity) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 15d ago and priced 40% below comparable Dubai listings. A fair offer band sits AED 279K–AED 291K.
All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Good opportunity
Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.
SCORE BREAKDOWN · 51 PTS
16
6
20
9
Drop % 16/35
Negotiability 6/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10
Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
632 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Dubai, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −9.2% · −-31KPRICE ACTION · 11 DAYS
AskingArea median 0.5MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D11
was AED 331K → AED 300K
11d after listing
−9.2%
-AED 31K
TOTAL · 11D
−9.2%
-AED 31K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 9.2% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
V · COMPARABLES
BMW · ACTIVEVALUE · 49 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 34,091 / 1,000 km+163%
vs median AED 12,961 / 1,000 km · 48 BMW comps
RANK
36 / 49
MID/HIGH RANGE
MILEAGE
9k km
PRICE × KM · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / 1K KM · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 48 BMW
MORE EXPENSIVE /KM
13
27% of comps
CHEAPER /KM
35
Mostly higher mileage
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
THIS MILEAGE
9k km
ListingPriceKMAED/1KkmDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 300K9k34,091—0d—BMW X5 2023 للبيعAED 210K133k1,579—0d-95%BMW M340i 2021AED 163K95k1,713—0d-95%BMW M550i xDrive 2019AED 154K90k1,718—0d-95%BMW X6 V8 under warrantyAED 225K85k2,647—0d-92%BMW M340i M SPORT 3600 AED P/M For 5 Years With 0% Down Payment BMW M340 V6 2023 2023AED 165K60k2,750—0d-92%Unlock all BMW comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export