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Scanning the UAE market

2022 LINCOLN NAVIGATOR BLACK LABEL

2022 · 50k km

▼ −48.0%Verified 1h ago

Now

€55K

was €107K€51K · −48.0%
Open on DubiCars

1-day history

42d

On market

50k km

Mileage

2022 Lincoln

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 56 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 56/100 (Good opportunity) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 42d ago. A fair offer band sits €52K–€54K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
56/ 100
Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 56 PTS
35
12
9
Drop % 35/35
Negotiability 12/25
Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

02
MOTIVATION · 45
45
1 cut · 42d on market · Price evidence
ListedLISTED−48%LATEST+0d
VELOCITY MEDIUM·MOST RECENT CUT −48%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer €52K €54K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER€54K€52K€55Klow €42K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
Active comps refreshed hourly
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Al Hamidiya, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −48.0% · −-€51K

PRICE ACTION · 0 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.2M0.3M0.4M0.4MAREA MEDIAN · 0.4M−48%
AskingExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D0
was €107K€55K
0d after listing
48.0%
-€51K
TOTAL · 0D
48.0%
-€51K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 48.0% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

V · COMPARABLES
LINCOLN · ACTIVE

VALUE · 3 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 4,400 / 1,000 km-71%

vs median AED 15,235 / 1,000 km · 2 Lincoln comps

RANK
2 / 3
MID/HIGH RANGE
MILEAGE
50k km
PRICE × KM · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M0.2M0.3M16k34k53kKMPRICE · AED M
AED / 1K KM · DISTRIBUTION
THIS · 4,4004,21215,235
BREAKDOWN · 2 Lincoln
MORE EXPENSIVE /KM
1
50% of comps
CHEAPER /KM
1
Mostly higher mileage
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
THIS MILEAGE
50k km
TAKEAWAYOf 2 comparable Lincolns, 1 cost more per 1,000 km. The 1 cheaper are higher-mileage examples.
Unlock all Lincoln comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 24 JUN, 20:52

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
DubiCars
Last verified
24 Jun, 20:52
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN AL HAMIDIYA · RANKED BY RECENCY

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