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2023 BMW X7 SERIES X7 XDRIVE40I

2023 · 45k km

▼ −40.0%Verified 4h ago

Now

AED 240K

was 400K−160K · −40.0%
Open on DubiCars

1-day history

1d

On market

45k km

Mileage

2023 BMW

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 54 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 54/100 (Good opportunity) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 1d ago. A fair offer band sits AED 223K–AED 233K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
54/ 100
Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 54 PTS
35
10
9
Drop % 35/35
Negotiability 10/25
Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

02
MOTIVATION · 40
40
1 cut · 1d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedLISTED−40%LATEST+0d
VELOCITY MEDIUM·MOST RECENT CUT −40%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer AED 223K – AED 233K. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 233KAED 223KAED 240Klow AED 180K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
Active comps refreshed hourly
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Ras Al Khor, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −40.0% · −-160K

PRICE ACTION · 0 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
0.2M0.3M0.4M0.4MAREA MEDIAN · 0.4M−40%
AskingExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D0
was AED 400K → AED 240K
0d after listing
−40.0%
-AED 160K
TOTAL · 0D
−40.0%
-AED 160K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 40.0% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

V · COMPARABLES
BMW · ACTIVE

VALUE · 5 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 5,333 / 1,000 km-92%

vs median AED 63,830 / 1,000 km · 4 BMW comps

RANK
2 / 5
BEST VALUE QUARTILE
MILEAGE
45k km
PRICE × KM · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.1M0.7M1.4M5k50k94kKMPRICE · AED M
AED / 1K KM · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 5,3331,674160,643
BREAKDOWN · 4 BMW
MORE EXPENSIVE /KM
3
75% of comps
CHEAPER /KM
1
Mostly higher mileage
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
THIS MILEAGE
45k km
ListingPriceKMAED/1KkmDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 240K45k5,333—0d—2019 BMW 5 Series 550AED 150K90k1,674−60.0%0d-69%Porsche Cayenne GTS BUY NOW, PAY 2027 | THE BLACKLINE STANDARD | October 2026 Porsche Warranty, GCC 2023AED 449K39k11,584—0d+117%Dodge Charger HELLCAT BUY NOW, PAY 2027 | THE BLACKLINE STANDARD | April 2028 Warranty, GCC 2023AED 369K6k63,830—0d+1097%Lamborghini Huracan BUY NOW, PAY 2027 | THE BLACKLINE STANDARD | 2027 Lamborghini Warranty, Full Carbon, GCC 2023AED 1.29M8k160,643—0d+2912%
TAKEAWAYOf 4 comparable BMWs, 3 cost more per 1,000 km. The 1 cheaper are higher-mileage examples.
Unlock all BMW comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 23 JUN, 13:45

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
DubiCars
Last verified
…
23 Jun, 13:45
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN RAS AL KHOR · RANKED BY RECENCY

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