Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Camelia 2BackTREO-S-054464

3BR TOWNHOUSE CAMELIA 2

3BR + 3BA · 1,988 sqft

▼ −4.3%★ Golden VisaVerified 6h ago

Now

AED 3.30M

was 3.45M−150K · −4.3%

7-day history

Open on PropertyFinder

7-day history

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 21 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 21/100 (Fair deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 11d ago. A fair offer band sits AED 3.07M–AED 3.20M.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 21 PTS

Drop % 8/35

Negotiability 4/25

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 20

1 cut · 11d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −4%

NEGOTIABILITY · LOW

LOW

Suggested offer AED 3.07M – AED 3.20M. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

12 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Camelia 2, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −4.3% · −-150K

PRICE ACTION · 2 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.2MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

was AED 3.45M → AED 3.30M

2d after listing

−4.3%

-AED 150K

TOTAL · 2D

−4.3%

-AED 150K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 4.3% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 17K−AED 773 / mo

vs AED 18K at pre-drop price (AED 3.45M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 660K

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 132K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 7K

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 799K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 2.64M

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 2.46M

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 850

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 17K

+AED 16K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 3K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

CAMELIA 2 · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 12 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 1,660 /sqft+1451%

vs area median AED 107 /sqft · 11 comps

RANK

11 / 12

MID/HIGH RANGE

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 11 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

9% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 11 comparables, 1 are more expensive per sqft. The 10 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

3BR TOWNHOUSE CAMELIA 2

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 2 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 12 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES