3BR VILLA RAYA
3BR + 4BA · 1,764 sqft · Raya
Rent · per year▼ −13.5%Verified 14h ago
53-day history
🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 19 Aug)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 40 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
BOTTOM LINE
Scored 40/100 (Good opportunity) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 53d ago and priced 2% below comparable Arabian Ranches 3 listings. A fair offer band sits $37K–$39K.
All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Good opportunity
Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.
SCORE BREAKDOWN · 40 PTS
10
11
9
10
Drop % 10/35
Negotiability 11/25
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10
Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.
02
VELOCITY MEDIUM·MOST RECENT CUT −6%
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
46 ACTIVE COMPS IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
46 comps · 3× daily
OFFER BAND
−7% … −3% vs asking
BENCHMARK
Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d
REFRESH
3× daily
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −13.5% · −-$3KPRICE ACTION · 1 DAYS
AskingArea median 0.1MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D1
was $46K → $44K
1d after listing
−5.9%
-$3K
TOTAL · 1D
−13.5%
-$3K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 5.9% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
V · COMPARABLES
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 3BR · ACTIVEVALUE · 46 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 83 /sqft-19%
vs area median AED 103 /sqft · 45 comps
RANK
2 / 46
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ UnderpricedPRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 45 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
44
98% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
1
See table
MEDIAN DOM
—
this listing: —
NEW THIS WEEK
—
Last 7 days
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThis$40K1,76483———New | Vacant | Single Row | New Listing$88K4,92966——-20%1 Cheque | View Today | Agent on Site$35K1,43890——+8%Single Row | Multiple Options | View Today$37K1,48391——+10%Brand New | Vacant | New Community | Family Haven$39K1,60191——+10%Single Row | Park Facing | Ready To Move$39K1,57592——+11%TAKEAWAYOf 45 comparables, 44 are more expensive per sqft. The 1 cheaper one is a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export