Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Springs 3BackPP-R-19243

2BR VILLA SPRINGS 3

2BR + 3BA · 2,250 sqft

▼ −7.1%Verified 2d ago

Now

AED 195K

was 210K−15K · −7.1%

29-day history

Open on PropertyFinder

29-day history

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 29 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 29/100 (Fair deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 30d ago. A fair offer band sits AED 181K–AED 189K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 29 PTS

Drop % 12/35

Negotiability 8/25

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 25

1 cut · 30d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −7%

NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE

MODERATE

Suggested offer AED 181K – AED 189K. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

8 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Springs 3, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −7.1% · −-15K

PRICE ACTION · 6 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.2MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

was AED 210K → AED 195K

6d after listing

−7.1%

-AED 15K

TOTAL · 6D

−7.1%

-AED 15K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 7.1% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 1K−AED 77 / mo

vs AED 1K at pre-drop price (AED 210K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 39K

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 8K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 680

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 47K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 156K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 146K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 950

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 1K

+AED 55 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 199/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

SPRINGS 3 · 2BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 8 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 87 /sqft-13%

vs area median AED 100 /sqft · 7 comps

RANK

2 / 8

CHEAPEST QUARTILE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 7 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

86% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 7 comparables, 6 are more expensive per sqft. The 1 cheaper one is a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL

SPRINGS 3 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D

SLOWING

↓ 145↓423 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE

AED 190KThis: AED 195K · +3%

AVG DOM

17d

THIS: 30D · +13D

ACTIVE COMPS

listings in segment

SIMILAR INVENTORY

Browse drops in Springs 3

Browse

2BR VILLA SPRINGS 3

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 6 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 8 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES