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Scanning the UAE market

PRIVATE POOL SINGLE ROW UNIT WITH BIG GARDEN

5BR + 6BA · 4,744 sqft · Seef Al Jubail

▼ −7.3%Dropped 2×Verified 68d ago

Now

AED 695K

was 750K55K · −7.3%
Open on PropertyFinder

86-day history · 2 cuts

AED 147

Price / sqft

4,744 sqft

Built-up area

5BR + 6BA

159d

On market

vs 15d median

AED 3,582

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

2× / 9d

Drop velocity

Accelerating

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 30 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
30/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 30 PTS
6
15
9
Drop % 6/35
Negotiability 15/25
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 65
65
2 cuts in 9d · 159d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−4%D0+0d−3%D8+8d
VELOCITY HIGH·LATEST CUT −3%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · HIGH
HIGH
Suggested offer AED 612K AED 660K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 660KAED 612KAED 695Klow AED 521K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
206 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Al Jubail Island, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
2 CUTS · −7.3% · −-55K

PRICE ACTION · 8 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.4M0.5M0.6M0.8MAREA MEDIAN · 0.4M−4%−3%
AskingArea median 0.4MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS
D0
was AED 750KAED 720K
0d after listing
4.0%
-AED 30K
D8
was AED 720KAED 695K
9d after previous cut
3.5%
-AED 25K
TOTAL · 8D
7.3%
-AED 55K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 9 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (3.5%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 4KAED 283 / mo

vs AED 4K at pre-drop price (AED 750K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 139K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 28K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 2K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 168K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 556K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 519K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 2K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 4K
+AED 2K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
2.9k3.6k4.3k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 709/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
AL JUBAIL ISLAND · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 147 /sqft-81%

vs area median AED 775 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
26 / 51
MID/HIGH RANGE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.3M12.8M25.2M2,74111,93321,126SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 147342,634
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
25
50% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
25
See table
MEDIAN DOM
14d
this listing: 84d
NEW THIS WEEK
15
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 25 are more expensive per sqft. The 25 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
AL JUBAIL ISLAND · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
18601051 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 395KThis: AED 695K · +76%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
15d
THIS: 159D · +144D
ACTIVE COMPS
206
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Al Jubail Island
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 22 MAR, 22:46

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · whitewill-auh-JubSeef5BRVilla
Last verified
68d ago
22 Mar, 22:46
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN AL JUBAIL ISLAND · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES