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CORNER 3 BED PLUS ROOFTOP SUITE AND POOL

3BR + 5BA · 4,821 sqft · Marsa Al Jubail

▼ −23.0%Dropped 2×Verified 23d ago

Now

$189K

was $245K−$56K · −23.0%
Open on PropertyFinder

50-day history · 2 cuts

AED 144

Price / sqft

4,821 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 5BA

92d

On market

vs 15d median

USD 3,572

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

2× / 24d

Drop velocity

Accelerating

🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 10 Apr)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 39 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
39/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 39 PTS
1
19
9
10
Drop % 1/35
Negotiability 19/25
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 80
80
2 cuts in 24d · 92d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedD0−23%D35+35d−0%D59+24d
VELOCITY HIGH·LATEST CUT −0%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · VERY-HIGH
VERY-HIGH
Suggested offer $151K – $170K. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$170K$151K$189Klow $142K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
206 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Al Jubail Island, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
2 CUTS · −23.0% · −-$56K

PRICE ACTION · 59 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
0.4M0.6M0.8M0.9MAREA MEDIAN · 0.4M−23%−0%
AskingArea median 0.4MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS
D35
was $245K → $189K
35d after listing
−22.8%
-$56K
D59
was $189K → $189K
24d after previous cut
−0.3%
-$545
TOTAL · 59D
−23.0%
-$56K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 24 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (0.3%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$973−$291 / mo

vs $1K at pre-drop price ($245K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
$38K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$8K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$456
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$46K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$151K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$141K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$538
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$973
+$435 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
2.9k3.6k4.3k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$193/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
AL JUBAIL ISLAND · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 144 /sqft+27%

vs area median AED 113 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
30 / 51
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M6.7M13.1M1,8406,82911,818SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 144424,503
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
20
40% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
30
See table
MEDIAN DOM
6d
this listing: 84d
NEW THIS WEEK
39
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThis$189K4,821144—84d—Single Row | Corner Unit | Landscaped | Executive$128K11,25542—4d-71%4Bed Luxury Villa| Single Row Villa|Private Garden$123K10,10745—3d-69%Perfect Location | Massive Plot | V4 Standard$102K8,29045—50d-69%Single Row | Spacious | Private Garden$123K8,39654−10.0%66d-62%Vacant | Landscaped | Family Community$102K5,53968—5d-53%
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 20 are more expensive per sqft. The 30 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
AL JUBAIL ISLAND · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
BUYER'S MARKET
↑ 1860↑1051 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$108KThis: $189K · +75%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
15d
THIS: 92D · +77D
ACTIVE COMPS
206
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Al Jubail Island
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 07 MAY, 08:46

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · VI20517
Last verified
23d ago
07 May, 08:46
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN AL JUBAIL ISLAND · RANKED BY RECENCY

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VILLA · THE DAHLIAS
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ACTIVE LISTING
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