EXCLUSIVE BACK TO BACK · 3E
3BR + 2BA · 2,450 sqft
▼ −14.3%Dropped 2×Verified 2h ago
44-day history · 2 cuts
AED 86
Price / sqft
2,450 sqft
Built-up area
3BR + 2BA
64d
On market
vs 16d median
AED 1,082
Mortgage est.
25y · 6% · 20% down
2× / 42d
Drop velocity
Accelerating
🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 03 Jun)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 52 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Good opportunity
Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.
SCORE BREAKDOWN · 52 PTS
19
14
9
10
Drop % 19/35
Negotiability 14/25
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10
Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
10 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Springs 15, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
2 CUTS · −14.3% · −-35KPRICE ACTION · 54 DAYS
AskingArea median 0.2MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS
D12
was AED 245K → AED 235K
12d after listing
−4.1%
-AED 10K
D54
was AED 235K → AED 210K
42d after previous cut
−10.6%
-AED 25K
TOTAL · 54D
−14.3%
-AED 35K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 42 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (10.6%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONSMORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 1K−AED 180 / mo
vs AED 1K at pre-drop price (AED 245K) · See cuts ↓
DOWN PAYMENT
AED 42K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 8K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 710
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 51K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 168K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 157K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 1K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 1K
+AED 82 / mo
Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.
STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATESIf rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 214/mo.
V · COMPARABLES
SPRINGS 15 · 3BR · ACTIVEVALUE · 10 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 86 /sqft+8%
vs area median AED 80 /sqft · 9 comps
RANK
7 / 10
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 9 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
3
33% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
6
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
9
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 210K2,45086—0d—Type 2E | Backing Pool and Park | VacantAED 230K3,91359—0d-31%Private Pool & Garden I Lake View I 4eAED 160K2,28670—0d-19%Springs 15 | Upgraded 2 BED |Type 4M|Available NowAED 140K1,79478—0d-9%Type 4M | Nice Location | Close to Pool and ParkAED 160K2,00480—0d-7%Type 4M | Nice Location | Close to Pool and ParkAED 160K2,00480—0d-7%TAKEAWAYOf 9 comparables, 3 are more expensive per sqft. The 6 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export
VI · AREA INTEL
SPRINGS 15 · ACTIVE COMPSGEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY
AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING↓ 358↓1577 vs last 30d
drops detected · UAE-wide
MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 200KThis: AED 210K · +5%
AVG DOM
16d
THIS: 64D · +48D
ACTIVE COMPS
10
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Springs 15
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 05 JUN, 10:18THIS IS THE MOMENT
SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · TC-R-315
Last verified
…
05 Jun, 10:18
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN SPRINGS 15 · RANKED BY RECENCYSIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES
−6%SCORE 45
Corner Plot | Great Location | Vacant
VILLA · SPRINGS 11
AED 160K
AED 160K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
WITH APPLAINCES | 4 BR + M | WELL MAINTAIN
VILLA · TILAL AL GHAF
AED 265K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
4BR VILLA | POOL | BALCONY | LIVING & DINING
VILLA · AL WARQA'A
AED 320K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Best Price | Vacant | Community Expert | ViewToday
VILLA · ARABIAN RANCHES 3
AED 290K
ACTIVE LISTING
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