UAEDrops

Scanning the UAE market

BEST PRICE 3BR VILLA GATED COMMUNITY · VACANT

3BR + 4BA · 3,223 sqft

▼ −11.4%Dropped 4×Verified 24m ago

Now

€60K

was €68K€8K · −11.4%
Open on PropertyFinder

40-day history · 4 cuts

AED 74

Price / sqft

−47% vs area median

3,223 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 4BA

59d

On market

vs 17d median

EUR 1,237

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

4× / 40d

Drop velocity

Accelerating

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 52 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
52/ 100
Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 52 PTS
7
16
20
9
Drop % 7/35
Negotiability 16/25
Below median 20/20
Confidence 9/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 70
70
4 cuts in 40d · 59d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−0%D12+12d−7%D20+8d−0%D38+18d−4%D52+14d
VELOCITY HIGH·LATEST CUT −4%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · HIGH
HIGH
Suggested offer €53K €57K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER€57K€53K€60Klow €45K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
04
BELOW MEDIAN · −47%
−47%
AED 74/sqft vs area median 75/sqft. See 15 comps
MINMEDIANMAXAED 74/SQFT
15 ACTIVE COMPS IN REDWOODS

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
15 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Redwoods, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
4 CUTS · −11.4% · −-€8K

PRICE ACTION · 52 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.2M0.3M0.4M0.5MAREA MEDIAN · 0.5M−0%−7%−0%−4%
AskingArea median 0.5MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 4 EVENTS
D12
was €68K€68K
12d after listing
0.4%
-€252
D20
was €68K€63K
8d after previous cut
7.4%
-€5K
D38
was €63K€63K
18d after previous cut
0.0%
-€0
D52
was €63K€60K
14d after previous cut
4.0%
-€3K
TOTAL · 52D
11.4%
-€8K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 4 times in 40 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (4.0%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
€312€40 / mo

vs €352 at pre-drop price (€68K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
€12K
20% of price
DLD FEE
€2K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
€194
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
€15K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
€48K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
€45K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
€567
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
€312
€255 / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 0.9 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
1.0k1.2k1.5k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€62/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
REDWOODS · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 14 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 74 /sqft-1%

vs area median AED 75 /sqft · 13 comps

RANK
7 / 14
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M0.4M0.6M3,0625,5758,088SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 746299
BREAKDOWN · 13 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
7
54% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
6
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
13
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 13 comparables, 7 are more expensive per sqft. The 6 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
REDWOODS · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING
851850 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
€113KThis: €60K · -47%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
17d
THIS: 59D · +42D
ACTIVE COMPS
15
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Redwoods
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 01 JUN, 21:53

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · ED20J272N579DCVV4Y6BS189M8
Last verified
01 Jun, 21:53
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN REDWOODS · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES