Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Arabian Ranches 3BackW-049A1X

3BR TOWNHOUSE SUN

3BR + 4BA · 1,415 sqft · Sun

▼ −12.5%Verified 30m ago

Now

AED 140K

was 160K−20K · −12.5%

95-day history

−88dToday

Open on PropertyFinder

95-day history

🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 06 Jul)

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 63 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 63/100 (Great deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 98d ago and priced 15% below comparable Arabian Ranches 3 listings. A fair offer band sits AED 130K–AED 136K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Great deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 63 PTS

Drop % 22/35

Negotiability 12/25

Below median 10/20

Confidence 9/10

Relist signal 10/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 45

1 cut · 98d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY MEDIUM·MOST RECENT CUT −13%

NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE

MODERATE

Suggested offer AED 130K – AED 136K. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

BELOW MEDIAN · −15%

−15%

AED 99/sqft vs area median 108/sqft. See 75 comps ↓

75 ACTIVE COMPS IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

75 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −12.5% · −-20K

PRICE ACTION · 87 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.2MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

D87

was AED 160K → AED 140K

87d after listing

−12.5%

-AED 20K

TOTAL · 87D

−12.5%

-AED 20K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 12.5% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 722−AED 103 / mo

vs AED 825 at pre-drop price (AED 160K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 28K

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 6K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 570

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 34K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 112K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 104K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 825

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 722

−AED 103 / mo

0y10y

Buying beats renting after 5.0 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 143/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 99 /sqft-8%

vs area median AED 108 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK

11 / 51

CHEAPEST QUARTILE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

80% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 40 are more expensive per sqft. The 10 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

3BR TOWNHOUSE SUN

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 87 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 51 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES