Drops · Realestate · Abu Dhabi · Al Jubail IslandBackAML-R-0001011

3BR TOWNHOUSE SOUK AL JUBAIL

3BR + 4BA · 2,218 sqft · Souk Al Jubail

▼ −28.6%Verified 40d ago

Now

€63K

was €88K−€25K · −28.6%

89-day history

−44dToday

Open on PropertyFinder

89-day history

🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 24 May)

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 90 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 90/100 (Exceptional deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 91d ago and priced 50% below comparable Al Jubail Island listings. A fair offer band sits €55K–€60K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Exceptional deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 90 PTS

Drop % 35/35

Negotiability 16/25

Below median 20/20

Confidence 9/10

Relist signal 10/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 55

1 cut · 91d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY MEDIUM·MOST RECENT CUT −29%

NEGOTIABILITY · HIGH

HIGH

Suggested offer €55K – €60K. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

BELOW MEDIAN · −50%

−50%

AED 113/sqft vs area median 102/sqft. See 55 comps ↓

55 ACTIVE COMPS IN AL JUBAIL ISLAND

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

55 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Al Jubail Island, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −28.6% · −-€25K

PRICE ACTION · 43 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.5MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

D43

was €88K → €63K

43d after listing

−28.6%

-€25K

TOTAL · 43D

−28.6%

-€25K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 28.6% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

€325−€130 / mo

vs €454 at pre-drop price (€88K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

€13K

20% of price

DLD FEE

€3K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

€199

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

€15K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

€50K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

€47K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

€630

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

€325

−€305 / mo

0y10y

Buying beats renting after 0.7 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€64/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

AL JUBAIL ISLAND · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 42 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 113 /sqft+11%

vs area median AED 102 /sqft · 41 comps

RANK

25 / 42

MID/HIGH RANGE

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 41 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

41% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 41 comparables, 17 are more expensive per sqft. The 24 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

3BR TOWNHOUSE SOUK AL JUBAIL

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 43 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 42 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES