UAEDrops

Scanning the UAE market

TYPE A PRIVATE POOL · EXCLUSIVE

4BR + 4BA · 2,936 sqft

▼ −4.0%Dropped 2×Verified 36m ago

Now

$98K

was $102K$8K · −4.0%
Open on PropertyFinder

1-day history · 2 cuts

AED 123

Price / sqft

2,936 sqft

Built-up area

4BR + 4BA

49d

On market

vs 12d median

USD 1,856

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

2× / 0d

Drop velocity

Accelerating

🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared 2 times (last: 01 Jun)
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 36 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
36/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 36 PTS
7
10
9
10
Drop % 7/35
Negotiability 10/25
Confidence 9/10
Relist signal 10/10

Below — the four signals that built this composite. Free-tier shows the headline only; Insider unlocks the underlying evidence.

02
MOTIVATION · 50
50
2 cuts · 49d on market · Price evidence
ListedD0−4%D31+31d−4%D31+0d
VELOCITY MEDIUM·LATEST CUT −4%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer $91K $95K. Request a callback
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER$95K$91K$98Klow $74K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
4 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Palmera 3, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
2 CUTS · −4.0% · −-$8K

PRICE ACTION · 31 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
0.3M0.3M0.4M0.4MAREA MEDIAN · 0.3M−4%−4%
AskingArea median 0.3MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS
D31
was $102K$98K
31d after listing
4.0%
-$4K
D31
was $102K$98K
0d after previous cut
4.0%
-$4K
TOTAL · 31D
4.0%
-$8K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 1 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (4.0%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
$505$21 / mo

vs $526 at pre-drop price ($102K) · See cuts

DOWN PAYMENT
$20K
20% of price
DLD FEE
$4K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
$275
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
$24K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
$78K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
$73K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
$405
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
$505
+$100 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
1.5k1.9k2.2k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$100/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
PALMERA 3 · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 3 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 123 /sqft+14%

vs area median AED 108 /sqft · 2 comps

RANK
3 / 3
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.2M0.3M0.4M2,7893,0963,402SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 12380123
BREAKDOWN · 2 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
0
0% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
2
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
2
Fresh inventory
TAKEAWAYOf 2 comparables, 0 are more expensive per sqft. The 2 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
PALMERA 3 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING
821853 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
$81KThis: $98K · +21%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
12d
THIS: 49D · +37D
ACTIVE COMPS
4
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Palmera 3
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 01 JUN, 16:18

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · VI41788
Last verified
01 Jun, 16:18
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN PALMERA 3 · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES