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BackNCD3DJTRZ3VQ0VR1XWT3NXD16R

LUXURY VILLA FOR RENT IN RIYADH

5BR + 7BA · 12,000 sqft

▼ −4.5%Dropped 2×Verified 2h ago

Now

€53K

was €55K−€3K · −4.5%
Open on PropertyFinder

27-day history · 2 cuts

AED 18

Price / sqft

12,000 sqft

Built-up area

5BR + 7BA

47d

On market

vs 11d median

EUR 1,082

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

2× / 10d

Drop velocity

Accelerating

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 24 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 24/100 (Fair deal) because seller has made 2 cuts over 10 days. A fair offer band sits €49K–€51K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
24/ 100
Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 24 PTS
4
11
9
Drop % 4/35
Negotiability 11/25
Confidence 9/10
Drop %·4/35Negotiability·11/25Confidence·9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

02
MOTIVATION · 50
50
2 cuts in 10d · 47d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedLISTED−2%20D+20d−2%LATEST+10d
VELOCITY MEDIUM·MOST RECENT CUT −2%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer €49K – €51K. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER€51K€49K€53Klow €40K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
139 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Abu Dhabi, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
2 CUTS · −4.5% · −-€3K

PRICE ACTION · 30 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
0.2M0.2M0.2M0.2MAREA MEDIAN · 0.2M−2%−2%
AskingArea median 0.2MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS
D20
was €55K → €54K
20d after listing
−2.3%
-€1K
D30
was €54K → €53K
10d after previous cut
−2.3%
-€1K
TOTAL · 30D
−4.5%
-€3K
NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 10 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (2.3%) is a clear capitulation signal.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
€273−€13 / mo

vs €286 at pre-drop price (€55K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
€11K
20% of price
DLD FEE
€2K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
€179
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
€13K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
€42K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
€39K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
€202
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
€273
+€71 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
0.9k1.1k1.3k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€54/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
ABU DHABI · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 18 /sqft-56%

vs area median AED 41 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
5 / 51
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.1M6.3M12.6M85514,26127,666SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 1881,856
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
43
86% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
7
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
50
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThis€53K12,00018—0d—4BR villa with Maid and Majlis and store€40K19,9998—0d-56%Standalone 5BR Villa | First Tenant | Parking€65K23,00011—0d-39%Brand new half Villa for rent in Madinat Al Riyad.€40K10,00016—0d-11%Luxury villa for rent in Riyadh€48K11,00017—0d-6%Corner Villa | Private Yard | Move-in Ready€50K11,37018—0d0%
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 43 are more expensive per sqft. The 7 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
ABU DHABI · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

No coordinates for this area yet.
AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING
↓ 412↓1523 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
€40KThis: €53K · +31%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
11d
THIS: 47D · +36D
ACTIVE COMPS
139
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Abu Dhabi
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 06 JUN, 16:46

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · NCD3DJTRZ3VQ0VR1XWT3NXD16R
Last verified
…
06 Jun, 16:46
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS
R
roel
Allsop
↻ ≤ 4h
RM
Roel Mangal
allsop
↻ ≤ 4h
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
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