Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Arabian Ranches 3BackAEP-AG-644

5BR VILLA JUNE

5BR + 6BA · 4,521 sqft · June

▼ −15.2%Verified 52d ago

Now

€71K

was €83K−€13K · −15.2%

73-day history

Open on PropertyFinder

73-day history

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 49 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 49/100 (Good opportunity) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 77d ago. A fair offer band sits €62K–€67K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 49 PTS

Drop % 27/35

Negotiability 13/25

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 45

1 cut · 77d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY MEDIUM·MOST RECENT CUT −15%

NEGOTIABILITY · HIGH

HIGH

Suggested offer €62K – €67K. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

66 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −15.2% · −-€13K

PRICE ACTION · 10 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.2MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

D10

was €83K → €71K

10d after listing

−15.2%

-€13K

TOTAL · 10D

−15.2%

-€13K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 15.2% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

€363−€65 / mo

vs €428 at pre-drop price (€83K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

€14K

20% of price

DLD FEE

€3K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

€214

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

€17K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

€56K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

€53K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

€203

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

€363

+€161 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€72/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 5BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 11 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 62 /sqft-96%

vs area median AED 1,537 /sqft · 10 comps

RANK

1 / 11

CHEAPEST QUARTILE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 10 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

100% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 10 comparables, 10 are more expensive per sqft.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

5BR VILLA JUNE

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 10 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 11 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES