Drops · Realestate · Abu Dhabi · Al Jubail IslandBack5368

2BR TOWNHOUSE BADA AL JUBAIL

2BR + 3BA · 2,755 sqft · Bada Al Jubail

▼ −13.5%Verified 20h ago

Now

$61K

was $71K−$10K · −13.5%

53-day history

−44dToday

Open on PropertyFinder

53-day history

🔄Relisted — this listing was removed and reappeared (last: 06 Jul)

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 74 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 74/100 (Great deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 70d ago and priced 63% below comparable Al Jubail Island listings. A fair offer band sits $57K–$59K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Great deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 74 PTS

Drop % 24/35

Negotiability 11/25

Below median 20/20

Confidence 9/10

Relist signal 10/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 40

1 cut · 70d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY MEDIUM·MOST RECENT CUT −13%

NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE

MODERATE

Suggested offer $57K – $59K. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

BELOW MEDIAN · −63%

−63%

AED 82/sqft vs area median 102/sqft. See 55 comps ↓

55 ACTIVE COMPS IN AL JUBAIL ISLAND

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

55 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Al Jubail Island, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −13.5% · −-$10K

PRICE ACTION · 43 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.6MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

D43

was $71K → $61K

43d after listing

−13.5%

-$10K

TOTAL · 43D

−13.5%

-$10K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 13.5% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

$316−$49 / mo

vs $365 at pre-drop price ($71K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

$12K

20% of price

DLD FEE

$2K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

$201

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

$15K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

$49K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

$46K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

$830

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

$316

−$515 / mo

0y10y

Buying beats renting after 0.4 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$63/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

AL JUBAIL ISLAND · 2BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 24 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 82 /sqft-20%

vs area median AED 102 /sqft · 23 comps

RANK

5 / 24

CHEAPEST QUARTILE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 23 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

83% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 23 comparables, 19 are more expensive per sqft. The 4 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

2BR TOWNHOUSE BADA AL JUBAIL

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 43 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 24 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES