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Scanning the UAE market

Home·Distress Index

UAE market·30-day window · as of 2026-08-08

The UAE distress index.

How hard UAE sellers are actually cutting, in one number from 0 to 100. Built only from asking-price reductions we watched a seller make — not estimates, not depreciation. Decisions.

Methodology published in full·Updated continuously·Free to cite

Current reading

42/100

Buyer's market

Discounting is broad and negotiable.

▼ 2 vs 08-02

FirmSofteningBuyer's marketBroad distressCapitulation

Headline tracks real estate

01·Trend

Five months of direction.

Weekly readings since March. A number is a snapshot; the line is what makes it an index.

FIRMSOFTENINGBUYER'S MARKETBROAD DISTRESSCAPITULATION02550751004203-1504-1205-1006-0707-0507-26now
Real estate (headline) Cars

02·By asset class

Where the pressure sits.

Each class scored on the same three components over the last 30 days.

Real estate

42/100

Buyer's market

Breadthweight 0.45
11.4%
Depthweight 0.35
4.0%
Persistenceweight 0.2
9.0%

334 of 2,940 live listings were reduced · AED 33.7M taken off asking prices

Cars

57/100

Buyer's market

Breadthweight 0.45
18.7%
Depthweight 0.35
3.3%
Persistenceweight 0.2
10.3%

174 of 930 live listings were reduced · AED 5.2M taken off asking prices

03·Methodology

How it's calculated.

Published in full so anyone can reproduce or challenge the number. An index you can't check is worth nothing.

weight 0.45

Breadth

Share of live listings reduced at least once in 30 days.

scores 100 at 20%

weight 0.35

Depth

Median size of those reductions.

scores 100 at 12%

weight 0.2

Persistence

Share of reduced listings cut more than once — a seller chasing the market.

scores 100 at 40%

Each component is scaled 0-100 against a fixed ceiling representing a genuinely extreme market, then combined using the weights above. The ceilings are set once and held constant — tuning them to current data would make every reading look average forever.

Only observed reductions count. A listing enters the index when a seller lowers a price we previously recorded. Estimated “below retail” gaps are tracked separately and never feed this number — depreciation is not a seller decision.

Watches are excluded. Our UAE watch source does not reprice, so a watch reading would sit at zero and imply a frozen market rather than a silent source.

Sources: PropertyFinder, Bayut, DubiCars. Rolling 30-day window, recomputed continuously. Last updated 2026-08-08.

Cite this

UAE Distress Index: 42/100 (Buyer's market), UAEDrops, 2026-08-08.

Machine-readable: /api/distress-index

04·Go deeper

See the cuts behind the number.