Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Dubai IslandsBack106968-DLTRZI
4-BED VILLA BAY VILLAS
4BR + 5BA · 4,301 sqft · Bay Villas
▼ −2.8%★ Golden VisaVerified 4d ago
22-day history
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 20 / 100WHY THIS IS A DEAL
BOTTOM LINE
Fair deal — seller has made 1 cut since listing 21d ago. Fair offer band: AED 6.51M–AED 6.79M.
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
Fair deal
SCORE BREAKDOWN
5
6
9
Drop % 5/35
Negotiability 6/25
Confidence 9/10
Insider unlocks the four evidence rows below.
03
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
17 comps · Daily
OFFER BAND
−7% … −3% vs asking
BENCHMARK
Dubai Islands, last 180d
REFRESH
Daily
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −2.8% · −-200KPRICE ACTION · 7 DAYS
AskingArea median 5.9MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D7
was AED 7.20M → AED 7.00M
7d after listing
−2.8%
-AED 200K
TOTAL · 7D
−2.8%
-AED 200K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 2.8% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo
Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONSMORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE CB caps · 25-yr tenor · 80% LTV on a first home ≤ AED 5M · rates vary by bank — drag the sliders
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 36K−AED 1K / mo
vs AED 37K at pre-drop price (AED 7.20M) · See cuts ↓
DOWN PAYMENT
AED 1.40M
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 280K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 14K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 1.69M
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 5.60M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 5.22M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 35K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 36K
+AED 1K / mo
Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.
STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATESIf rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 7K/mo.
V · COMPARABLES
DUBAI ISLANDS · 4BR · ACTIVEVALUE · 13 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 1,628 /sqft-15%
vs area median AED 1,923 /sqft · 12 comps
RANK
5 / 13
MID/HIGH RANGE
OUR TAKE
★ UnderpricedPRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 12 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
8
67% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
4
See table
MEDIAN DOM
—
this listing: —
NEW THIS WEEK
—
Last 7 days
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 7.00M4,3011,628———4BR Garden Villa · Corner Beach Rows · OP to OP DealAED 9.15M7,6261,200−2.4%—-26%Best Beachfront 4BR · Resale · Corner Unit · No #1 AgentAED 5.63M4,2341,329——-18%4BR Beachfront Villa · Resale Best Buy · Semi-DetachedAED 5.80M4,2401,368——-16%Investor Deal · Under Market Price · Prime Unit · Single Row · On The ParkAED 5.20M3,4011,529——-6%Nakheel Bay Estates · Island E · Book From 100K AED · Most Elite IslandAED 9.80M6,0011,633——0%TAKEAWAYOf 12 comparables, 8 are more expensive per sqft. The 4 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export