UAEDrops

Scanning the UAE market

BackMCC-R-49143-8

PRIVATE POOL ONE OF A KIND · VIEW TODAY

3BR + 4BA · 4,233 sqft · Caya 1

▼ −20.8%Verified 41m ago

Now

AED 285K

was 360K−75K · −20.8%
Open on PropertyFinder

2-day history

AED 67

Price / sqft

4,233 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 4BA

2d

On market

vs 10d median

AED 1,469

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 54 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 54/100 (Good opportunity) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 2d ago. A fair offer band sits AED 265K–AED 276K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
54/ 100
Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 54 PTS
35
10
9
Drop % 35/35
Negotiability 10/25
Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

02
MOTIVATION · 40
40
1 cut · 2d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedLISTED−21%LATEST+1d
VELOCITY MEDIUM·MOST RECENT CUT −21%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE
MODERATE
Suggested offer AED 265K – AED 276K. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFERAED 276KAED 265KAED 285Klow AED 214K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
137 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −20.8% · −-75K

PRICE ACTION · 1 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
0.2M0.3M0.3M0.4MAREA MEDIAN · 0.2M−21%
AskingArea median 0.2MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D1
was AED 360K → AED 285K
1d after listing
−20.8%
-AED 75K
TOTAL · 1D
−20.8%
-AED 75K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 20.8% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 1K−AED 387 / mo

vs AED 2K at pre-drop price (AED 360K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 57K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 11K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 860
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 69K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 228K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 213K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 1K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 1K
+AED 419 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
1.2k1.5k1.8k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 291/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 67 /sqft-45%

vs area median AED 121 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
2 / 51
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.1M3.6M7.0M1,2073,0264,845SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 67632,509
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
49
98% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
1
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
50
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 285K4,23367—0d—Best Price | Vacant | Community Expert | ViewTodayAED 290K4,61363—0d-6%Directly Backing Park | Single Row | Best LocationAED 190K2,43578—0d+16%End Unit | Ready Landsacping | AMC IncludedAED 220K2,68382—0d+22%New Unit | Close To Pool | Options AvailableAED 160K1,93383—0d+24%Well Maintain 3BR + Maid | Available Mid of July | Single RowAED 165K1,94185—0d+27%
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 49 are more expensive per sqft. The 1 cheaper one is a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING
↓ 607↓1328 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 210KThis: AED 285K · +36%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
10d
THIS: 2D · −8D
ACTIVE COMPS
137
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Arabian Ranches 3
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 10 JUN, 22:18

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · MCC-R-49143-8
Last verified
…
10 Jun, 22:18
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

No verified specialist for this area yet. Submit a callback and we'll match one.

Request a callback
We aim to respond within 4hNo spam · 1 message
SAVE & SHARE
Share

Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES

−6%SCORE 60
Upgraded | Vacant | Homely Atmosphere
VILLA · ENTERTAINMENT FOYER
AED 750K
AED 850K
PRICE TRAJECTORY
SCORE 25
Bright House 5BR Spacious Villa with Swimming Pool
VILLA · NAD AL SHEBA
AED 849K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Modern Design | Brand New | Swimming Pool
VILLA · NAD AL SHEBA VILLAS
AED 749K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Bright 6BR Villa | Maid and Driver | Pool and Lift
VILLA · NAD AL SHEBA VILLAS
AED 750K
ACTIVE LISTING
Browse all drops in real estate →
Refreshed hourly