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PRIVATE POOL ONE OF A KIND · VIEW TODAY

3BR + 4BA · 4,233 sqft · Caya 1

Verified 3d ago

Now

€91K

Open on PropertyFinder

6-day history

AED 85

Price / sqft

4,233 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 4BA

6d

On market

vs 12d median

EUR 1,856

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE 47 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 47/100 (Good opportunity) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 6d ago. A fair offer band sits €84K–€88K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
47/ 100
Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 47 PTS
35
3
9
Drop % 35/35
Negotiability 3/25
Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

02
MOTIVATION · 20
20
1 cut · 6d on market · Price evidence ↓
ListedLISTED−21%LATEST+1d
VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −21%
03
NEGOTIABILITY · LOW
LOW
Suggested offer €84K – €88K. Request a callback ↓
ASKSUGGESTED OFFER€88K€84K€91Klow €68K
BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
75 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
III · THE EVIDENCE
1 CUT · −0.0% · −-€19K

PRICE ACTION · 1 DAYS

PRICE / TIME
Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%
AEDUSDEUR
0.2M0.3M0.3M0.4MAREA MEDIAN · 0.2M−21%
AskingArea median 0.2MExpected rangeCut event
CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT
D1
was €91K → €72K
1d after listing
−20.8%
-€19K
TOTAL · 1D
−0.0%
-€19K
NARRATIVESingle cut of 20.8% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.
Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
€468

vs €468 at pre-drop price (€91K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
€18K
20% of price
DLD FEE
€4K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
€254
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
€22K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
€73K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
€68K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
€264
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
€468
+€203 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
1.5k1.9k2.2k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~€92/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 85 /sqft-23%

vs area median AED 111 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK
10 / 51
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.1M3.8M7.6M1,2533,4075,562SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 85611,923
BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
41
82% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
9
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
50
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThis€91K4,23385—0d—Negotiable |Near to Pool & Park | Ready to Move In€64K4,19761—0d-28%Best Price | Vacant | Community Expert | ViewToday€73K4,61363—0d-26%4BR+Maid's | Standalone G+1 | Single Row€88K5,20367—0d-21%Vacant Soon | Large Plot | Next to Pool Single Row€88K5,20567—0d-21%True Corner Triplex | Single Row | Negotiable€58K3,41367—0d-21%
TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 41 are more expensive per sqft. The 9 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING
↓ 735↓1200 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
€53KThis: €91K · +71%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
12d
THIS: 6D · −6D
ACTIVE COMPS
75
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Arabian Ranches 3
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 12 JUN, 16:17

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · MCC-R-49143-8
Last verified
…
12 Jun, 16:17
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
VERIFIED SPECIALISTS

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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · RANKED BY RECENCY

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