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Scanning the UAE market

BackESTAN-R-101220

BRAND NEW - READY TO MOVE IN - CLOSE

3BR + 4BA · 1,559 sqft · Raya

Verified 8h ago

Now

AED 149K

Open on PropertyFinder

AED 96

Price / sqft

−95% vs area median

1,559 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 4BA

7d

On market

vs 13d median

AED 768

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE PENDING

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

because listed 7 days ago and priced 95% below comparable Arabian Ranches 3 listings.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Awaiting first price event to compute score.

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

04
BELOW MEDIAN · −95%
−95%
AED 96/sqft vs area median 1,495/sqft. See 23 comps ↓
MINMEDIANMAXAED 96/SQFT
23 ACTIVE COMPS IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
23 comps · 2h fresh
OFFER BAND
±4% confidence
BENCHMARK
Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d
REFRESH
Hourly
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 768

vs AED 768 at pre-drop price (AED 149K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT
AED 30K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 6K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 588
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 36K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 119K
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 111K
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 14K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 768
−AED 14K / mo
0y10y

Buying beats renting after 0.0 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATES
0.6k0.8k0.9k4%5%6%7%8%AED / MO

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 152/mo.

V · COMPARABLES
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 23 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE
AED 96 /sqft-94%

vs area median AED 1,495 /sqft · 22 comps

RANK
3 / 23
CHEAPEST QUARTILE
OUR TAKE
★ Underpriced
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %
0.1M2.4M4.7M1,2801,9682,657SIZE · SQFTPRICE · AED M
AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
MEDIANTHIS · 96871,923
BREAKDOWN · 22 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
20
91% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
2
See table
MEDIAN DOM
0d
this listing: 0d
NEW THIS WEEK
22
Fresh inventory
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 149K1,55996—0d—Prime Location | Bright Home | Landscaped | VacantAED 170K1,96287—0d-9%Corner Unit | Single Row | Brand NewAED 220K2,43690—0d-6%Vacant | Exclusive | Signature TownhouseAED 194K2,00497−3.0%0d+1%Vacant | Prime Community | UnfurnishedAED 140K1,40899—0d+3%Family 3BR + Maid | Spacious layout | VacantAED 145K1,419102—0d+6%
TAKEAWAYOf 22 comparables, 20 are more expensive per sqft. The 2 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING
↓ 892↓1043 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 2.90MThis: AED 149K · -95%
MINMEDIANMAX
AVG DOM
13d
THIS: 7D · −6D
ACTIVE COMPS
23
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Arabian Ranches 3
Browse
VII · TRUST & ACTION
DATA ATTESTED · 24 JUN, 12:24

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE
90%HIGH
Source
PropertyFinder
Ref · Estan-R-101220
Last verified
…
24 Jun, 12:24
Freshness
Hourly
2h scan window
Method
Direct scrape
Reference-keyed
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Sourced & verified by UAEDrops. Independent — we don't accept agency listings.

VIII · NEXT BEST
4 ACTIVE IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · RANKED BY RECENCY

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES

−4%SCORE 42
Ready to Move In | Close to Park and Pool
VILLA · MAPLE AT DUBAI HILLS ESTATE
AED 230K
AED 240K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
3 Bedrooms | Renovated | Mid July
VILLA · SPRINGS 8
AED 185K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Springs 3 | Vacant Now | Good Condition
VILLA · SPRINGS 3
AED 150K
ACTIVE LISTING
SCORE 25
Internal | Landscaped | coming soon
VILLA · TILAL AL GHAF
AED 170K
ACTIVE LISTING
Browse all drops in real estate →
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