Drops · Realestate · Dubai · AmarantaBackBH-S-231093

3BR VILLA AMARANTA 2

3BR + 4BA · 1,728 sqft · Amaranta 2

▼ −1.7%★ Golden VisaVerified 4h ago

Now

$790K

was $803K−$14K · −1.7%

36-day history

−18dToday

Open on PropertyFinder

36-day history

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 19 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 19/100 (Below average) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 45d ago. A fair offer band sits $734K–$766K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Below average

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 19 PTS

Drop % 3/35

Negotiability 7/25

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 25

1 cut · 45d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −2%

NEGOTIABILITY · LOW

LOW

Suggested offer $734K – $766K. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

18 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Amaranta, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −1.7% · −-$14K

PRICE ACTION · 17 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 2.4MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

D17

was $803K → $790K

17d after listing

−1.7%

-$14K

TOTAL · 17D

−1.7%

-$14K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 1.7% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

$4K−$70 / mo

vs $4K at pre-drop price ($803K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

$158K

20% of price

DLD FEE

$32K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

$2K

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

$191K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

$632K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

$589K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

$3K

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

$4K

+$735 / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$805/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

AMARANTA · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 18 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 1,678 /sqft+21%

vs area median AED 1,387 /sqft · 17 comps

RANK

17 / 18

MID/HIGH RANGE

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 17 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

6% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 17 comparables, 1 are more expensive per sqft. The 16 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

3BR VILLA AMARANTA 2

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 17 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 18 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES