Drops · Realestate · Abu Dhabi · Al GhadeerBackRLS-S-3203

2BR TOWNHOUSE AL GHADEER 2

2BR + 3BA · 1,739 sqft · Al Ghadeer 2

▼ −5.3%Dropped 2×Verified 7h ago

Now

AED 1.80M

was 1.90M−350K · −5.3%

Cuts every ~14d · next window in ~9d

21-day history · 2 cuts

−17dToday

Open on PropertyFinder

21-day history · 2 cuts

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 44 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 44/100 (Good opportunity) because seller has made 2 cuts over 14 days. A fair offer band sits AED 1.67M–AED 1.75M.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Good opportunity

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 44 PTS

Drop % 25/35

Negotiability 10/25

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 55

2 cuts in 14d · 37d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY MEDIUM·MOST RECENT CUT −14%

NEGOTIABILITY · MODERATE

MODERATE

Suggested offer AED 1.67M – AED 1.75M. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

30 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Al Ghadeer, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

2 CUTS · −5.3% · −-350K

PRICE ACTION · 16 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.1MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 2 EVENTS

was AED 1.90M → AED 1.85M

2d after listing

−2.6%

-AED 50K

D16

was AED 2.10M → AED 1.80M

14d after previous cut

−14.3%

-AED 300K

TOTAL · 16D

−5.3%

-AED 350K

NARRATIVESeller has cut 2 times in 14 days — an unusually fast cadence for this segment. Latest cut (14.3%) is a clear capitulation signal.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 9K−AED 515 / mo

vs AED 10K at pre-drop price (AED 1.90M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 360K

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 72K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 4K

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 436K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 1.44M

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 1.34M

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 638

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 9K

+AED 9K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 2K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

AL GHADEER · 2BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 29 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 1,035 /sqft+1132%

vs area median AED 84 /sqft · 28 comps

RANK

19 / 29

MID/HIGH RANGE

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 28 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

36% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 28 comparables, 10 are more expensive per sqft. The 18 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

2BR TOWNHOUSE AL GHADEER 2

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 16 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 29 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES