Drops · Realestate · Dubai · MudonBackR353SR9FRWT3K6AN07ZGYJVXS0

3BR VILLA MUDON AL RANIM 3

3BR + 4BA · 2,217 sqft · Mudon Al Ranim 3

▼ −2.7%★ Golden VisaVerified 4d ago

Now

$967K

was $994K−$27K · −2.7%

35-day history

−21dToday

Open on PropertyFinder

35-day history

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 21 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 21/100 (Fair deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 35d ago. A fair offer band sits $899K–$938K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 21 PTS

Drop % 5/35

Negotiability 7/25

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 25

1 cut · 35d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −3%

NEGOTIABILITY · LOW

LOW

Suggested offer $899K – $938K. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

21 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Mudon, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −2.7% · −-$27K

PRICE ACTION · 20 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.2MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

D20

was $994K → $967K

20d after listing

−2.7%

-$27K

TOTAL · 20D

−2.7%

-$27K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 2.7% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

$5K−$140 / mo

vs $5K at pre-drop price ($994K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

$193K

20% of price

DLD FEE

$39K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

$2K

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

$234K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

$773K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

$721K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

$279

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

$5K

+$5K / mo

Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$986/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

MUDON · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 21 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 1,601 /sqft+1317%

vs area median AED 113 /sqft · 20 comps

RANK

14 / 21

MID/HIGH RANGE

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 20 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

35% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 20 comparables, 7 are more expensive per sqft. The 13 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

3BR VILLA MUDON AL RANIM 3

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 20 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 21 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES