Drops · Realestate · Dubai · The ValleyBackNUA-R-4807

3BR TOWNHOUSE ORANIA

3BR + 4BA · 1,873 sqft · Orania

Verified 2d ago

Now

AED 135K

Open on PropertyFinder

AED 72

Price / sqft

−95% vs area median

1,873 sqft

Built-up area

3BR + 4BA

18d

On market

vs 10d median

AED 696

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE PENDING

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

because listed 18 days ago and priced 95% below comparable The Valley listings.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Awaiting first price event to compute score.

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

BELOW MEDIAN · −95%

−95%

AED 72/sqft vs area median 1,410/sqft. See 24 comps ↓

24 ACTIVE COMPS IN THE VALLEY

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

24 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

The Valley, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 696

vs AED 696 at pre-drop price (AED 135K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 27K

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 5K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 560

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 33K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 108K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 101K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 13K

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 696

−AED 12K / mo

0y10y

Buying beats renting after 0.0 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 138/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

THE VALLEY · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 24 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 72 /sqft-95%

vs area median AED 1,410 /sqft · 23 comps

RANK

1 / 24

CHEAPEST QUARTILE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 23 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

91% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 23 comparables, 21 are more expensive per sqft. The 2 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

3BR TOWNHOUSE ORANIA

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 24 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES