Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Damac LagoonsBackDPF-R-45179

4BR TOWNHOUSE PORTOFINO

4BR + 3BA · 1,550 sqft · Portofino

▼ −3.3%Verified 7h ago

Now

$39K

was $41K−$1K · −3.3%

17-day history

−17dToday

Open on PropertyFinder

17-day history

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 36 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 36/100 (Fair deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 17d ago and priced 25% below comparable Damac Lagoons listings. A fair offer band sits $37K–$38K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 36 PTS

Drop % 6/35

Negotiability 4/25

Below median 17/20

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 20

1 cut · 17d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −3%

NEGOTIABILITY · LOW

LOW

Suggested offer $37K – $38K. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

BELOW MEDIAN · −25%

−25%

AED 93/sqft vs area median 116/sqft. See 114 comps ↓

114 ACTIVE COMPS IN DAMAC LAGOONS

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

114 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Damac Lagoons, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −3.3% · −-$1K

PRICE ACTION · 16 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.2MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

D16

was $41K → $39K

16d after listing

−3.3%

-$1K

TOTAL · 16D

−3.3%

-$1K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 3.3% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

$203−$7 / mo

vs $210 at pre-drop price ($41K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

$8K

20% of price

DLD FEE

$2K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

$158

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

$10K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

$32K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

$29K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

$262

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

$203

−$59 / mo

0y10y

Buying beats renting after 2.5 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$40/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

DAMAC LAGOONS · 4BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 93 /sqft-20%

vs area median AED 116 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK

12 / 51

CHEAPEST QUARTILE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

78% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 39 are more expensive per sqft. The 11 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

4BR TOWNHOUSE PORTOFINO

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 16 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 51 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES