Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Arabian RanchesBackJGE210013

6BR VILLA AL MAHRA

6BR + 5BA · 8,181 sqft · Al Mahra

★ Golden VisaVerified 4d ago

Now

AED 12.50M

Open on PropertyFinder

AED 1,528

Price / sqft

−15% vs area median

8,181 sqft

Built-up area

6BR + 5BA

10d

On market

vs 8d median

AED 64,430

Mortgage est.

25y · 6% · 20% down

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE PENDING

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

because listed 10 days ago and priced 15% below comparable Arabian Ranches listings.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Awaiting first price event to compute score.

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

BELOW MEDIAN · −15%

−15%

AED 1,528/sqft vs area median 2,092/sqft. See 6 comps ↓

6 ACTIVE COMPS IN ARABIAN RANCHES

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

6 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Arabian Ranches, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

AED 64K

vs AED 64K at pre-drop price (AED 12.50M) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

AED 2.50M

20% of price

DLD FEE

AED 500K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

AED 25K

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

AED 3.03M

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

AED 10.00M

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

AED 9.33M

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

AED 73K

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

AED 64K

−AED 9K / mo

0y10y

Buying beats renting after 5.0 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 13K/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

ARABIAN RANCHES · 6BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 5 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 1,528 /sqft-27%

vs area median AED 2,092 /sqft · 4 comps

RANK

2 / 5

CHEAPEST QUARTILE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 4 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

75% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 4 comparables, 3 are more expensive per sqft. The 1 cheaper one is a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

VI · AREA INTEL

ARABIAN RANCHES · ACTIVE COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

AREA PULSE · 30D

SLOWING

↓ 145↓423 vs last 30d

drops detected · UAE-wide

MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE

AED 14.63MThis: AED 12.50M · -15%

AVG DOM

THIS: 10D · +2D

ACTIVE COMPS

listings in segment

SIMILAR INVENTORY

Browse drops in Arabian Ranches

Browse

VII · TRUST & ACTION

DATA ATTESTED · 05 AUG, 02:55

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SOURCE & CONFIDENCE

90%HIGH

Source

PropertyFinder

Ref · JGE210013

Last verified

…

05 Aug, 02:55

Freshness

3× daily

8h scan window

Method

Direct scrape

Reference-keyed

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