Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Arabian Ranches 3BackPOSIT-R-121290

3BR TOWNHOUSE BLISS 2

3BR + 3BA · 1,351 sqft · Bliss 2

▼ −6.3%Verified 5h ago

Now

$41K

was $44K−$3K · −6.3%

2-day history

Open on PropertyFinder

2-day history

II · THE THESIS

DEAL SCORE 29 / 100

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

BOTTOM LINE

Scored 29/100 (Fair deal) because seller has made 1 cut since listing 2d ago and priced 6% below comparable Arabian Ranches 3 listings. A fair offer band sits $38K–$40K.

All four signals + supporting evidence below. How do these scores work?

HEADLINE · COMPOSITE

Fair deal

Composite of price drop, motivation, area position, and data confidence.

SCORE BREAKDOWN · 29 PTS

Drop % 11/35

Negotiability 5/25

Below median 4/20

Confidence 9/10

Free-tier shows the headline only. Insider unlocks the four detailed evidence rows below.

MOTIVATION · 25

1 cut · 2d on market · Price evidence ↓

VELOCITY LOW·MOST RECENT CUT −6%

NEGOTIABILITY · LOW

LOW

Suggested offer $38K – $40K. Find a specialist ↓

BASED ON · MOTIVATION · CUT COUNT · TIME ON MARKET · TOTAL REDUCTION

BELOW MEDIAN · −6%

−6%

AED 111/sqft vs area median 802/sqft. See 84 comps ↓

84 ACTIVE COMPS IN ARABIAN RANCHES 3

Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below

INPUTS

4 signals + relist

WEIGHTS

Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10

COMPS

84 comps · 2h fresh

OFFER BAND

±4% confidence

BENCHMARK

Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d

REFRESH

Hourly

III · THE EVIDENCE

1 CUT · −6.3% · −-$3K

PRICE ACTION · 1 DAYS

PRICE / TIME

Y: AED · X: days since listed · Envelope: median ±8%

AED USD EUR

AskingArea median 0.2MExpected rangeCut event

CUT-BY-CUT · 1 EVENT

was $44K → $41K

1d after listing

−6.3%

-$3K

TOTAL · 1D

−6.3%

-$3K

NARRATIVESingle cut of 6.3% — early signal that the seller is testing the market.

Unlock the price history · AED 199 / mo

Every cut event · area median overlay · CSV export

IV · CASHFLOW

UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Down payment20%

15%40%

Interest rate6.00%

3.50%8.00%

Term25 yr

15 yr30 yr

UAE Central Bank caps residential mortgages at 25 years tenor and 80% LTV for residents on a first home (≤AED 5M). Drag the sliders to model your own assumptions — actual rates vary by bank and profile.

MONTHLY · NOW

$210−$14 / mo

vs $225 at pre-drop price ($44K) · See cuts ↓

DOWN PAYMENT

$8K

20% of price

DLD FEE

$2K

4% of price

MORTGAGE REG

$161

0.25% loan + 290

CASH TO CLOSE

$10K

Day-one out-of-pocket

LOAN AMOUNT

$33K

25y · 6.00%

TOTAL INTEREST

$30K

Over full term

RENT VS BUY

RENT · ESTIMATE

$218

/ mo · ~6% gross yield

BUY · NOW

$210

−$7 / mo

0y10y

Buying beats renting after 20.5 years at the current price.

STRESS TEST

AT VARIOUS RATES

If rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~$42/mo.

V · COMPARABLES

ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 3BR · ACTIVE

VALUE · 51 COMPS

VALUE HEADLINE

AED 111 /sqft-86%

vs area median AED 802 /sqft · 50 comps

RANK

19 / 51

MID/HIGH RANGE

OUR TAKE

★ Underpriced

PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED

DOT SIZE = DROP %

AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION

BREAKDOWN · 50 LISTINGS

MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT

64% of comps

CHEAPER /SQFT

See table

MEDIAN DOM

this listing: 0d

NEW THIS WEEK

Fresh inventory

ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this

TAKEAWAYOf 50 comparables, 32 are more expensive per sqft. The 18 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.

Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo

Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export

3BR TOWNHOUSE BLISS 2

WHY THIS IS A DEAL

PRICE ACTION · 1 DAYS

MORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN

VALUE · 51 COMPS

GEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY

THIS IS THE MOMENT

SIMILAR OPPORTUNITIES