Drops · Realestate · Dubai · Arabian Ranches 3BackJM0R4C5WYCZTPANY0TXJAP42G0
4-BED VILLA SPRING
4BR + 3BA · 2,568 sqft · Spring
★ Golden VisaVerified 1h ago
Now
AED 3.90M
AED 1,519
Price / sqft
2,568 sqft
Built-up area
4BR + 3BA
59d
On market
vs 7d median
AED 20,102
Mortgage est.
25y · 6% · 20% down
II · THE THESIS
DEAL SCORE PENDINGWHY THIS IS A DEAL
01
HEADLINE · COMPOSITE
SCORE BREAKDOWN
Awaiting first price event to compute score.
Insider unlocks the four evidence rows below.
Motivation · Negotiability · Below median · Every section below
INPUTS
4 signals + relist
WEIGHTS
Drop 35 · Neg 25 · Med 20 · Conf 10 · Relist 10
COMPS
12 comps · 3× daily
BENCHMARK
Arabian Ranches 3, last 180d
REFRESH
3× daily
IV · CASHFLOW
UAE CB GUIDELINES · YOUR ASSUMPTIONSMORTGAGE · RENT · BREAK-EVEN
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
Down payment20%
15%40%
Interest rate6.00%
3.50%8.00%
Term25 yr
15 yr30 yr
UAE CB caps · 25-yr tenor · 80% LTV on a first home ≤ AED 5M · rates vary by bank — drag the sliders
MONTHLY · NOW
AED 20K
vs AED 20K at pre-drop price (AED 3.90M) · See cuts ↓
DOWN PAYMENT
AED 780K
20% of price
DLD FEE
AED 156K
4% of price
MORTGAGE REG
AED 8K
0.25% loan + 290
CASH TO CLOSE
AED 944K
Day-one out-of-pocket
LOAN AMOUNT
AED 3.12M
25y · 6.00%
TOTAL INTEREST
AED 2.91M
Over full term
RENT VS BUY
RENT · ESTIMATE
AED 20K
/ mo · ~6% gross yield
BUY · NOW
AED 20K
+AED 602 / mo
Your monthly cost is already higher than the rent estimate — the buy vs rent break-even leans on price appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.
STRESS TEST
AT VARIOUS RATESIf rates climb to 8%, your payment grows by ~AED 4K/mo.
V · COMPARABLES
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · 4BR · ACTIVEVALUE · 12 COMPS
VALUE HEADLINE
AED 1,519 /sqft+1%
vs area median AED 1,506 /sqft · 11 comps
RANK
7 / 12
MID/HIGH RANGE
PRICE × SIZE · DROP-WEIGHTED
DOT SIZE = DROP %AED / SQFT · DISTRIBUTION
BREAKDOWN · 11 LISTINGS
MORE EXPENSIVE /SQFT
5
45% of comps
CHEAPER /SQFT
6
See table
MEDIAN DOM
—
this listing: —
NEW THIS WEEK
—
Last 7 days
ListingPriceSizeAED/sqftDrop %DOMΔ vs this
This listingThisAED 3.90M2,5681,519———Exceptional Price · Single Row · Vacant On TransferAED 2.70M1,9381,393——-8%Single Row · Skylight · Mortgage EligibleAED 3.30M2,3151,425——-6%Sky Light · Mortgage EligibleAED 3.17M2,1831,454——-4%Vacant · Across from Pool & Park · VASTUAED 2.87M1,9381,478——-3%Close To Amenities · Multiple OptionsAED 3.90M2,5941,503——-1%TAKEAWAYOf 11 comparables, 5 are more expensive per sqft. The 6 cheaper ones are a mix of smaller units and older buildings.
Unlock all comparables · AED 199 / mo
Scatter · distribution · full table · CSV export
VI · AREA INTEL
ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · ACTIVE COMPSGEOGRAPHY · PULSE · VELOCITY
AREA PULSE · 30D
SLOWING↓ 3↓5 vs prior 30d
PRICE CUTS · ARABIAN RANCHES 3 · PROPERTY · 8 PRIOR 30D
MEDIAN PRICE · ACTIVE
AED 3.52MThis: AED 3.90M · +11%
AVG DOM
7d
THIS: 59D · +52D
ACTIVE COMPS
12
listings in segment
SIMILAR INVENTORY
Browse drops in Arabian Ranches 3